trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 10 | +34.5% | +21.7% | 30% | 30% | -4.8% |
| ≤30d | 12 | +12.1% | +1.4% | 25% | 25% | -22.8% |
| ≤90d | 46 | -5.7% | -14.6% | 46% | 37% | -7.6% |
| all | 46 | -5.7% | -14.6% | 46% | 37% | -7.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -14.6% | 37% | -7.6% |
| 10% | -22.8% | 33% | -16.4% |
| 15% | -30.3% | 24% | -24.5% |
| 20% | -37.1% | 13% | -31.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5 | Over | 51¢ | 50¢ | $25 | $25 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Exact Score: New Zealand 1 - 1 Egypt? | Yes | 24¢ | 12¢ | $1 | $1 | −$1 (-52%) |
| Exact Score: New Zealand 1 - 0 Egypt? | Yes | 20¢ | 6¢ | $2 | $1 | −$1 (-72%) |
| Exact Score: New Zealand 2 - 0 Egypt? | Yes | 11¢ | 2¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-79%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exact Score: New Zealand 1 - 3 Egypt? | Jun 22 | $17 | −$17 | -100% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $71 | +$32 | +46% |
| Exact Score: Any Other Score? | Jun 20 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Exact Score: Ecuador 2 - 0 Curaçao? | Jun 20 | $41 | −$40 | -98% |
| Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 1 Sweden? | Jun 20 | $26 | −$25 | -97% |
| Exact Score: Türkiye 0 - 1 Paraguay? | Jun 20 | $10 | +$100 | +982% |
| Exact Score: Türkiye 1 - 0 Paraguay? | Jun 20 | $15 | −$15 | -98% |
| Exact Score: Any Other Score? | Jun 20 | $29 | +$5 | +18% |
| Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $13 | −$13 | -98% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $51 | −$50 | -99% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | May 25 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | May 23 | $4 | +$1 | +30% |
| Cavaliers vs. Pistons | May 18 | $441 | −$435 | -99% |
| Pistons vs. Cavaliers | May 16 | $351 | +$137 | +39% |
| Spurs vs. Timberwolves | May 16 | $261 | −$255 | -98% |
| Cavaliers vs. Pistons | May 14 | $379 | +$310 | +82% |
| Timberwolves vs. Spurs | May 13 | $200 | +$40 | +20% |
| Thunder vs. Lakers | May 12 | $369 | −$235 | -64% |
| Pistons vs. Cavaliers | May 12 | $847 | −$592 | -70% |
| Spurs vs. Timberwolves | May 11 | $1,029 | +$229 | +22% |
| Thunder vs. Lakers | May 10 | $681 | +$285 | +42% |
| Pistons vs. Cavaliers | May 09 | $459 | −$158 | -34% |
| Spurs vs. Timberwolves | May 09 | $474 | −$18 | -4% |
| Knicks vs. 76ers | May 09 | $422 | −$358 | -85% |
| Lakers vs. Thunder | May 08 | $723 | +$69 | +10% |
| Cavaliers vs. Pistons | May 08 | $209 | −$149 | -71% |
| Timberwolves vs. Spurs | May 07 | $212 | −$194 | -92% |
| 76ers vs. Knicks | May 07 | $1,136 | +$61 | +5% |
| Lakers vs. Thunder | May 06 | $1,443 | +$56 | +4% |
| Cavaliers vs. Pistons | May 06 | $304 | −$156 | -51% |
| Timberwolves vs. Spurs | May 05 | $826 | +$444 | +54% |
| 76ers vs. Knicks | May 05 | $454 | −$422 | -93% |
| Raptors vs. Cavaliers | May 04 | $2,090 | +$75 | +4% |
| 76ers vs. Celtics | May 03 | $548 | +$801 | +146% |
| Lakers vs. Rockets | May 02 | $119 | +$152 | +128% |
| Cavaliers vs. Raptors | May 02 | $102 | +$45 | +44% |
| Celtics vs. 76ers | May 01 | $289 | +$118 | +41% |
| Nuggets vs. Timberwolves | May 01 | $130 | −$21 | -16% |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st? | Apr 30 | $56 | −$27 | -48% |
| Rockets vs. Lakers | Apr 30 | $26 | +$7 | +26% |
| Raptors vs. Cavaliers | Apr 29 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April? | Apr 28 | $32 | +$17 | +54% |
| Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April? | Apr 23 | $100 | −$50 | -50% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April? | Apr 18 | $355 | −$23 | -6% |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st? | Apr 16 | $3 | +$1 | +33% |