Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T21:13:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
C9 0xc927…6f05 crypto 133 markets active 0h ago coverage 9d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$552 (-12%) realized −$552 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -31% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -47% what you keep after slip
Net edge-47%after slip
Net WR23%break-even
Win rate31%41W / 92L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$36per market
Trades / day45.2pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6
7 days−$624
14 days−$832
30 days−$832
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$832
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +23%
net ROI/market (all)-37.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 90 -39.1% -44.9% 37% 26% -25.3%
≤30d 133 -30.9% -37.4% 31% 23% -26.2%
≤90d 133 -30.9% -37.4% 31% 23% -26.2%
all 133 -30.9% -37.4% 31% 23% -26.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover45.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -37.4% 23% -26.2%
10% ← realistic here -43.4% 16% -33.3%
15% -48.9% 13% -39.7%
20% -53.9% 11% -45.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 22% · top 2 34% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -20% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
27% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -31% · $-wt -20% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -17% → late -44% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.6 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$22 vs −$19 · ×1.16 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×0.51 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

9d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$552
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)31%
Wins / losses41 / 92
Open positions0
Markets (closed)133 / 133
History coverage9d
Avg bet$36
Trades / day45.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 133 Trades
no open positions (66 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 15 $40 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 15 $113 +$23 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 15 $21 −$20 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 15 $40 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 15 $41 +$37 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 15 $42 −$40 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 15 $81 −$9 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 15 $41 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 15 $40 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 11 $47 −$47 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 11 $104 −$101 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 11 $106 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 11 $101 +$8 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 11 $100 +$5 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 11 $102 +$27 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 11 $104 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 11 $26 −$5 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 11 $83 +$26 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 11 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 11 $105 −$101 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 11 $102 +$28 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 11 $81 +$12 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 11 $42 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 10 $28 −$27 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 10 $67 −$40 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 10 $104 −$100 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 10 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 10 $47 −$45 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 10 $81 +$9 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 10 $122 +$48 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 10 $42 +$40 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 10 $37 −$19 -53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 10 $81 +$14 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 10 $81 +$18 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 10 $21 −$5 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 10 $41 −$16 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 10 $21 −$20 -95%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $40 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET SELL Up 54¢ $19 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET SELL Up 52¢ $75 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 22¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 18¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET SELL Down 42¢ $19 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET SELL Up 97¢ $42 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $1 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 466 history records