Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T22:11:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C9
0xc926…8058
sports · 338 markets active 0h ago
0.5score
−$13,487 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$13,647 · open +$160
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$870
Realized−$13,647
Unrealized+$160
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses166 / 171
Whale WR (big bets)54%
Est. fees paid−$304
Open positions1
Markets (closed)337 / 338
History coverage225d
Avg bet$626
Trades / day5.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 1 History 337 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$481
7 days−$34
14 days+$10
30 days−$615
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 3 Winner Team Liquid 54¢ 66¢ $710 $870 +$160 (+22%)
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 1 Winner Cloud9 58¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner KT Rolster 34¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $507 +$40 +8%
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $183 −$133 -73%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $322 +$898 +278%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $1,105 −$430 -39%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $1,213 −$223 -18%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $51 −$15 -29%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $304 −$281 -93%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $733 +$625 +85%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 08 $493 −$493 -100%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 08 $203 −$9 -4%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $275 +$227 +82%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $1,376 −$138 -10%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 07 $306 −$8 -2%
Will one Democratic Party candidate and one Republican Party candidate Jun 07 $273 +$146 +53%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $204 −$189 -93%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 07 $307 −$178 -58%
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 225.5 Jun 07 $145 −$103 -70%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $10 +$29 +284%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 07 $204 −$15 -8%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 07 $304 +$216 +71%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 06 $202 −$33 -16%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? Jun 05 $406 +$79 +20%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? Jun 05 $51 −$4 -9%
Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor prima Jun 03 $13 +$2 +15%
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 3 Winner May 29 $105 −$92 -88%
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winner May 29 $202 −$177 -87%
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 Winner May 29 $136 +$77 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET May 29 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET May 29 $15 +$5 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET May 29 $21 −$4 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET May 29 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET May 29 $15 +$4 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET May 29 $15 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET May 29 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET May 29 $33 −$6 -17%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Voca - Map 2 Winner May 29 $92 −$71 -78%
Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs Imperial (BO5) - ESL Challenger League Sout May 29 $79 +$13 +16%
Thunder vs. Spurs May 29 $94 −$15 -16%
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner May 27 $84 +$51 +61%
LoL: Gen.G vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winner May 27 $115 −$44 -38%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winner May 27 $57 −$57 -100%
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 207.5 May 26 $157 −$12 -7%
Roland Garros ATP: Ethan Quinn vs Francisco Comesana May 26 $165 −$8 -5%
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 26 $174 −$11 -6%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Esports World Cup Korea May 26 $139 −$3 -2%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 May 26 $165 +$5 +3%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner May 26 $51 −$47 -92%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner May 26 $519 −$25 -5%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs May 25 $410 +$6 +2%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 3 Winner May 25 $78 +$43 +55%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 91% −$12,912
other 5% +$700
politics 2% +$280
world 1% −$1,694
crypto 0% −$36
tech 0% +$75
finance 0% +$102
culture 0% +$6
economics 0% −$7
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 3 Winner BUY Team Liquid 60¢ $101 3m
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 3 Winner BUY Team Liquid 53¢ $619 10m
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winner SELL Team Liquid 99¢ $126 37m
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winner SELL Cloud9 57¢ $148 51m
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winner SELL Team Liquid 50¢ $187 52m
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winner BUY Team Liquid 59¢ $304 58m
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winner SELL Cloud9 37¢ $86 58m
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winner BUY Cloud9 40¢ $204 1h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner SELL Cloud9 5¢ $0 1h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner SELL Cloud9 10¢ $50 1h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner BUY Cloud9 12¢ $31 1h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner BUY Cloud9 60¢ $152 1h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner SELL Team WE 82¢ $1,221 11h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Team WE 21¢ $322 12h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner SELL Team WE 48¢ $413 12h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Team WE 68¢ $602 12h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 44¢ $261 12h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 83¢ $503 12h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner SELL KT Rolster 15¢ $172 13h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner SELL KT Rolster 32¢ $0 13h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner BUY KT Rolster 34¢ $408 13h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner SELL Gen.G 54¢ $553 13h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner BUY Gen.G 77¢ $806 13h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner SELL KT Rolster 9¢ $36 14h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner BUY KT Rolster 12¢ $51 14h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner SELL Gen.G 5¢ $22 15h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner BUY Gen.G 53¢ $101 15h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner BUY Gen.G 63¢ $101 15h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner BUY Gen.G 65¢ $101 15h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 54¢ $446 34h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-15.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 20 +4.7% -5.3% 35% 30% -4.5%
≤30d 57 -7.8% -16.6% 40% 26% -11.8%
≤90d 115 -10.4% -18.9% 42% 25% -18.4%
all 337 -6.5% -15.4% 49% 39% -15.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover5.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -15.4% 39% -15.3%
10% -23.5% 28% -23.4%
15% -30.9% 19% -30.8%
20% -37.7% 11% -37.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $869.62 · official $869.62 (match) · 1225 history records