Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T09:40:30+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
C9 0xc925…6d24 sports 74 markets active 0h ago coverage 2d ⚠
BOTnot copyable sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 1d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (1668 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ only 2d of captured history — unreliable
Total PnL +$863 (+1%) realized +$1,318 · open −$455
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +436% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt +313% what you keep after slip
Net edge+313%after slip
Net WR44%break-even
Win rate61%77W / 50L
Whale WR60%big bets
Drawdown14%max
Avg bet$1,026per market
Trades / day1667.8pace
Fees−$897est.
Kalshi-fit97%portable
Net worth$1,007now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 2d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 100% +$1,664
other 0% +$20
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (1668 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)+385.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 127 +436.2% +385.2% 61% 44% +1.8%
≤30d 127 +436.2% +385.2% 61% 44% +1.8%
≤90d 127 +436.2% +385.2% 61% 44% +1.8%
all 127 +436.2% +385.2% 61% 44% +1.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover1667.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +385.2% 44% +1.8%
10% ← realistic here +338.7% 42% -7.9%
15% +296.3% 40% -16.8%
20% +257.5% 39% -25.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 12% · top 2 21% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +23% fresh edge ✓
Fragile wins
27% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +436% · $-wt +23% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 60% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +256% → late +614% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
42.8 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$123 vs −$34 · ×3.65 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×5.62 per $1 lost it wins $5.62
Copy size
≥ $700 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

2d coverage
Net worth$1,007
Realized+$1,318
Unrealized−$455
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses77 / 50
Whale WR (big bets)60%
Est. fees paid−$897
Open positions11
Markets (closed)127 / 74
History coverage2d ⚠
Avg bet$1,026
Trades / day1667.8
Drawdown14%
Kalshi-fit97%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 11 History 127 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 4 Winner Dplus KIA Challengers 74¢ 100¢ $291 $392 +$101 (+35%)
Grass Court Championships: Elise Mertens vs Nikola Bartunkova Elise Mertens 47¢ 48¢ $355 $356 +$1 (+0%)
Grass Court Championships: Elise Mertens vs Nikola Bartunkova Nikola Bartunkova 51¢ 52¢ $227 $234 +$7 (+3%)
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%? Yes 63¢ 98¢ $13 $20 +$7 (+55%)
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes 30¢ 28¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-4%)
Map Handicap: RSTR (-1.5) vs DXA Esports (+1.5) Rooster 60¢ 0¢ $286 $0 −$286 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 1 Winner KT Rolster Challengers 14¢ 0¢ $64 $0 −$64 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 3 Winner Dplus KIA Challengers 44¢ 0¢ $181 $0 −$180 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 2 Winner KT Rolster Challengers 18¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Will MrBeast's next video get between 49 and 50 million views on day 4? No 12¢ 1¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-95%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? No 71¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs K27 - Map 1 Winner Nuclear TigeRES 19¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 87 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 17 $3 +$27 +1036%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Jun 17 $41 −$17 -43%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro Jun 17 $41 −$21 -50%
LoL: Galions vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs Jun 17 $0 +$53 +33315%
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Phoenix Mercury Jun 17 $66 +$26 +40%
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner Jun 17 $2 +$272 +12399%
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs Team WE (+2.5) Jun 17 $60 −$76 -128%
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winner Jun 17 $23 +$36 +157%
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winner Jun 17 $13 −$17 -137%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 17 $13 −$13 -100%
Ilkley: Ashlyn Krueger vs Darja Vidmanova Jun 17 $3 +$154 +5805%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Viktorija Golubic vs Sofia Kenin Jun 17 $11 +$104 +945%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 17 $22 +$203 +945%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 17 $15 +$700 +4766%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Anna Blinkova vs Anna Bondar Jun 17 $26 −$12 -45%
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) Jun 17 $2 +$8 +340%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 17 $29 +$189 +653%
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card) Jun 17 $57 −$59 -104%
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner Jun 17 $50 −$17 -33%
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Diane Parry vs Ella Seidel Jun 17 $36 +$31 +85%
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs GenOne - Map 1 Winner Jun 17 $32 +$3 +8%
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Top Esports Challenger - Game 2 Winner Jun 17 $14 −$22 -155%
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner Jun 17 $1 +$226 +22724%
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Top Esports Challenger (BO3) - Asia Masters La Jun 17 $18 +$233 +1274%
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner Jun 17 $61 −$61 -99%
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights Jun 17 $11 +$54 +505%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 17 $28 +$36 +130%
UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card) Jun 17 $4 +$345 +9401%
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO5) - LCS Playoffs Jun 17 $50 +$38 +75%
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs KT Rolster (+2.5) Jun 17 $24 −$25 -100%
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Saigon Warriors - Game 2 Winner Jun 17 $3 +$229 +9148%
LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 1 Winner Jun 17 $8 +$2 +19%
Map Handicap: G1 (-1.5) vs Ursa (+1.5) Jun 17 $8 −$8 -100%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 17 $3 +$205 +5908%
Valorant: G2 Esports vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoff Jun 17 $33 +$118 +362%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 17 $10 −$449 -4512%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 17 $12 +$1,110 +9629%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 17 $11 +$851 +7432%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner Jun 17 $51 −$89 -175%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 17 $38 −$58 -152%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 17 $13 +$127 +972%
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro - Map 1 Winner Jun 17 $8 −$8 -100%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 17 $2 +$103 +5379%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Leo Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 17 $36 −$29 -81%
Lyon: David Jorda Sanchis vs Tristan Boyer Jun 17 $27 −$2 -9%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 17 $20 +$104 +507%
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Playoffs Jun 17 $2 +$90 +3978%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 17 $28 +$389 +1395%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 17 $5 +$93 +1859%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 17 $28 +$148 +530%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Grass Court Championships: Elise Mertens vs Nikola Bartunkova BUY Elise Mertens 44¢ $110 2m
Grass Court Championships: Elise Mertens vs Nikola Bartunkova BUY Elise Mertens 49¢ $103 4m
Grass Court Championships: Elise Mertens vs Nikola Bartunkova BUY Elise Mertens 49¢ $19 4m
Grass Court Championships: Elise Mertens vs Nikola Bartunkova BUY Elise Mertens 49¢ $12 4m
Grass Court Championships: Elise Mertens vs Nikola Bartunkova BUY Elise Mertens 49¢ $15 4m
Grass Court Championships: Elise Mertens vs Nikola Bartunkova BUY Elise Mertens 49¢ $5 4m
Grass Court Championships: Elise Mertens vs Nikola Bartunkova BUY Elise Mertens 49¢ $90 4m
Grass Court Championships: Elise Mertens vs Nikola Bartunkova BUY Nikola Bartunkova 51¢ $239 15m
Grass Court Championships: Elise Mertens vs Nikola Bartunkova BUY Nikola Bartunkova 51¢ $239 15m
Grass Court Championships: Elise Mertens vs Nikola Bartunkova BUY Elise Mertens 52¢ $3 18m
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 4 Winner BUY KT Rolster Challengers 15¢ $12 20m
Grass Court Championships: Elise Mertens vs Nikola Bartunkova BUY Elise Mertens 48¢ $120 20m
Grass Court Championships: Elise Mertens vs Nikola Bartunkova BUY Elise Mertens 50¢ $125 21m
Grass Court Championships: Elise Mertens vs Nikola Bartunkova BUY Nikola Bartunkova 48¢ $7 21m
Grass Court Championships: Elise Mertens vs Nikola Bartunkova BUY Nikola Bartunkova 48¢ $1 21m
Grass Court Championships: Elise Mertens vs Nikola Bartunkova BUY Nikola Bartunkova 45¢ $6 22m
Grass Court Championships: Elise Mertens vs Nikola Bartunkova BUY Nikola Bartunkova 40¢ $100 23m
Grass Court Championships: Elise Mertens vs Nikola Bartunkova BUY Elise Mertens 60¢ $1 23m
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 4 Winner BUY Dplus KIA Challengers 97¢ $243 23m
Grass Court Championships: Elise Mertens vs Nikola Bartunkova BUY Elise Mertens 63¢ $19 24m
Grass Court Championships: Elise Mertens vs Nikola Bartunkova BUY Elise Mertens 63¢ $139 24m
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 4 Winner BUY KT Rolster Challengers 5¢ $12 27m
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 4 Winner BUY KT Rolster Challengers 9¢ $22 28m
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 4 Winner BUY Dplus KIA Challengers 86¢ $215 29m
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 4 Winner BUY KT Rolster Challengers 11¢ $28 30m
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 4 Winner BUY Dplus KIA Challengers 58¢ $145 37m
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 4 Winner BUY KT Rolster Challengers 39¢ $5 37m
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 4 Winner BUY KT Rolster Challengers 39¢ $6 37m
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 4 Winner BUY Dplus KIA Challengers 59¢ $113 37m
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 4 Winner BUY Dplus KIA Challengers 59¢ $35 37m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,007.02 · official $1,007.02 (match) · 3500 history records