Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T10:05:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
C9 0xc923…7b81 other 260 markets active 0h ago coverage 33d
TRAPdo not copy ⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$74 (-6%) realized −$74 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -9% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR50%break-even
Win rate75%195W / 65L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$5per market
Trades / day10.0pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit42%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1
7 days−$12
14 days−$14
30 days−$58
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
other 55% +$9
crypto 44% −$83
sports 0% −$3
politics 0% $0
world 0% $0
tech 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-17.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 36 -7.1% -16.0% 78% 50% -17.3%
≤30d 241 -7.4% -16.2% 77% 51% -13.7%
≤90d 260 -8.6% -17.3% 75% 50% -14.9%
all 260 -8.6% -17.3% 75% 50% -14.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover10.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -17.3% 50% -14.9%
10% -25.2% 18% -23.0%
15% -32.4% 8% -30.4%
20% -39.0% 3% -37.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 7% · top 2 9% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -6% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
29% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -9% · $-wt -6% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -15% → late -2% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$4 · ×0.24 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.73 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

33d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$74
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)75%
Wins / losses195 / 65
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)260 / 260
History coverage33d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day10.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit42%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 260 Trades
no open positions (54 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +9%
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +10%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +14%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +7%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +7%
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +14%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +9%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +12%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +6%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +13%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +14%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +12%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +19%
Exact Score: Belgium 0 - 1 Egypt? Jun 15 $1 $0 +11%
Belgium vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score Jun 15 $1 $0 +21%
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? Jun 15 $1 −$1 -98%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $1 $0 +44%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $2 $0 -6%
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 0 South Africa? Jun 11 $2 $0 +15%
Mexico to score first vs. South Africa? Jun 11 $1 $0 +32%
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 South Africa? Jun 11 $1 $0 +9%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score Jun 11 $1 $0 -26%
BNB Up or Down - June 9, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 9, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$1 +12%
BNB Up or Down - June 9, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$1 +12%
BNB Up or Down - June 9, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 09 $5 +$1 +11%
BNB Up or Down - June 9, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 9, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 9, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 09 $5 +$1 +12%
BNB Up or Down - June 8, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 8, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 09 $5 +$1 +16%
BNB Up or Down - June 8, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 09 $5 +$1 +13%
BNB Up or Down - June 8, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 09 $5 +$1 +12%
BNB Up or Down - June 8, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 09 $5 +$1 +16%
BNB Up or Down - June 8, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 08 $5 +$1 +15%
BNB Up or Down - June 8, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 08 $5 −$5 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 8, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 08 $5 $0 +7%
BNB Up or Down - June 8, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 08 $5 +$1 +13%
BNB Up or Down - June 8, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 08 $5 $0 +6%
BNB Up or Down - June 8, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 08 $5 +$1 +16%
BNB Up or Down - June 8, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 08 $5 $0 +9%
BNB Up or Down - June 8, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 08 $5 +$1 +13%
BNB Up or Down - June 8, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 08 $5 $0 +8%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 13m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 14m
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 14m
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $5 18m
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 23m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 44m
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $5 48m
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 48m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $5 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $5 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $5 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $2 2h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $5 2h
Belgium vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 82¢ $1 14h
Exact Score: Belgium 0 - 1 Egypt? BUY No 90¢ $1 14h
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? BUY Yes 41¢ $1 14h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 37¢ $2 4d
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 38¢ $2 4d
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 South Africa? SELL Yes 56¢ $1 4d
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 South Africa? BUY Yes 49¢ $1 4d
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 0 South Africa? BUY No 93¢ $1 4d
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 28¢ $1 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 518 history records