Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T06:06:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C9
0xc923…53c5
politics · 38 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$16 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$23 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$90
Realized−$23
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)5%
Wins / losses2 / 35
Whale WR (big bets)0%
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)37 / 38
History coverage78d
Avg bet$474
Trades / day1.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit70%
Chart Positions 1 History 37 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5
7 days−$12
14 days−$12
30 days−$23
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Jair Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No 100¢ 100¢ $90 $90 −$0 (-0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Jun 14 $29 $0 -0%
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential no Jun 14 $28 $0 -0%
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2026? Jun 12 $1,068 −$2 -0%
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $9,000 by end of June? Jun 12 $79 $0 -0%
Will Moonshot have the top AI model at the end of June 2026? Jun 12 $1,093 −$1 -0%
Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 12 $1,035 −$2 -0%
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 11 $1,144 −$2 -0%
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 11 $44 $0 -0%
Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027? Jun 11 $1,144 −$1 -0%
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 11 $1,084 −$2 -0%
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in June? Jun 10 $1,125 −$1 -0%
Will Kamala Harris win the California Governor Election in 2026? Jun 10 $61 $0 -0%
Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Jun 10 $1,108 $0 +0%
Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 10 $1,056 −$1 -0%
Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series? May 27 $72 $0 -0%
Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026? May 27 $29 $0 -0%
Will the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship? May 27 $26 $0 -0%
Will Kyle Langford win the California Governor Election in 2026? May 25 $47 $0 -0%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in May? May 25 $22 $0 -0%
Will Yoon Sang-hyun win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial May 24 $73 $0 -0%
Will Vladimir Padrino López be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? May 24 $848 −$1 -0%
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 24 $884 −$1 -0%
Will Solana reach $130 in May? May 24 $916 −$1 -0%
Will Ethereum reach $2,150 on May 22? May 23 $29 $0 +0%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee May 23 $879 −$2 -0%
Will Colorado Rapids win the 2026 MLS Cup? May 23 $11 $0 -0%
Will Cameron Norrie win the 2026 Men's French Open? May 23 $894 −$1 -0%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? May 22 $44 $0 +1%
Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election? May 22 $920 −$2 -0%
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer? May 22 $930 −$1 -0%
New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms? May 22 $859 −$2 -0%
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár? Apr 02 $97 $0 -0%
Will UBS or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead under Apr 02 $32 $0 -0%
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? Apr 02 $29 $0 -0%
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Mar 28 $133 $0 -0%
Xi Jinping out by June 30? Mar 28 $29 $0 -0%
Will Luis Gilberto Murillo win the 2026 Colombian presidential electio Mar 28 $18 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 28% −$6
politics 24% −$8
tech 13% −$3
crypto 11% −$2
economics 11% −$3
world 7% $0
culture 6% −$2
sports 0% $0
finance 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Jair Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2 BUY No 100¢ $61 4m
Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? SELL No 100¢ $29 14m
Will Jair Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2 BUY No 100¢ $10 22m
Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? BUY No 100¢ $14 37m
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential no SELL No 99¢ $16 45m
Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? BUY No 100¢ $15 52m
Will Jair Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2 BUY No 100¢ $19 1h
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential no SELL No 99¢ $12 1h
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential no BUY No 99¢ $28 1h
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2026? SELL No 99¢ $1,066 45h
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $9,000 by end of June? SELL No 100¢ $79 45h
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $9,000 by end of June? BUY No 100¢ $26 45h
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2026? BUY No 100¢ $1,040 45h
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $9,000 by end of June? BUY No 100¢ $30 46h
Will Moonshot have the top AI model at the end of June 2026? SELL No 100¢ $1,091 46h
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $9,000 by end of June? BUY No 100¢ $23 46h
Will Moonshot have the top AI model at the end of June 2026? BUY No 100¢ $1,060 46h
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2026? BUY No 100¢ $16 46h
Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $761 46h
Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $272 46h
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2026? BUY No 100¢ $11 47h
Will Moonshot have the top AI model at the end of June 2026? BUY No 100¢ $33 47h
Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $1,035 47h
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $1,142 2d
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL No 99¢ $44 2d
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY No 99¢ $9 2d
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $1,112 2d
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY No 99¢ $22 2d
Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027? SELL No 100¢ $1,143 2d
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY No 99¢ $13 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 14 -0.1% -9.6% 0% 0% -9.6%
≤30d 31 -0.1% -9.6% 6% 0% -9.6%
≤90d 37 -0.1% -9.6% 5% 0% -9.6%
all 37 -0.1% -9.6% 5% 0% -9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.4 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.6% 0% -9.6%
10% -18.3% 0% -18.3%
15% -26.2% 0% -26.2%
20% -33.4% 0% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $89.99 · official $89.99 (match) · 117 history records