Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T18:48:20+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
C9 0xc921…f50c crypto 88 markets active 0h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (157 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$41 (+1%) realized +$41 · open +$0
Gross ROI / mkt +2% what the leader earns
−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -22% what you keep after slip
Net edge-22%after slip
Net WR1%break-even
Win rate100%88W / 0L
Drawdown0%max
Avg bet$43per market
Trades / day157.0pace
Kalshi-fit85%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 87% +$56
other 13% +$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (157 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-7.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 88 +2.0% -7.7% 100% 1% -8.0%
≤30d 88 +2.0% -7.7% 100% 1% -8.0%
≤90d 88 +2.0% -7.7% 100% 1% -8.0%
all 88 +2.0% -7.7% 100% 1% -8.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover157.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.7% 1% -8.0%
10% ← realistic here -16.5% 1% -16.8%
15% -24.6% 1% -24.9%
20% -32.0% 0% -32.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 13% · top 2 18% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
99% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +2% · $-wt +2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +2% → late +2% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.8 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$1 vs — no data
Profit factor
no data
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$41
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses88 / 0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)88 / 88
History coverage1d
Avg bet$43
Trades / day157.0
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit85%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 88 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 15 $30 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 15 $30 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 15 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 15 $30 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 15 $28 +$2 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 15 $29 +$1 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 15 $29 +$1 +2%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 15 $69 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 15 $89 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 15 $30 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 15 $29 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 15 $30 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 1PM ET Jun 15 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 15 $30 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 15 $30 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 15 $27 +$3 +9%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 15 $29 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 15 $148 +$2 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 15 $30 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 15 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 15 $28 +$2 +8%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 15 $29 +$1 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 15 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 15 $29 +$1 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 15 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 15 $30 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 15 $113 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 15 $30 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 15 $29 +$1 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 15 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 15 $29 +$1 +3%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 15 $30 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 15 $29 +$1 +4%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 15 $29 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 15 $29 +$1 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 15 $119 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 15 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 15 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 15 $30 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 15 $30 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 15 $208 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 15 $87 +$3 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 15 $29 +$1 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 15 $30 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 15 $71 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 15 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 15 $178 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 15 $29 +$1 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 15 $29 +$1 +2%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 15 $119 +$1 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 3m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 8m
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 8m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $29 18m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $28 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 23m
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $20 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 23m
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 23m
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 23m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $29 23m
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 23m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 28m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $29 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 33m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $27 43m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 43m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $29 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 43m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $27 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $3 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 48m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 48m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 1PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 48m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 245 history records