Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:06:49+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C9
0xc905…b394
crypto · 996 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$9,795 -17%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$9,795 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$9,795
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses505 / 491
Whale WR (big bets)42%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)996 / 996
History coverage5d
Avg bet$58
Trades / day647.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 996 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,825
7 days−$9,795
14 days−$9,795
30 days−$9,795
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Down 55¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+81%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 49¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+104%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $189 $0 −$189 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $94 $0 −$94 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $90 −$25 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$9 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$8 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$14 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $13 +$5 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$19 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$9 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$19 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$21 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$18 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$10 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$19 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$8 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$15 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$9 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$9 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $203 +$103 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$10 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$7 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$8 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$10 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$19 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$9 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$7 +75%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$9,795
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET SELL Down 38¢ $66 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $88 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $10 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $10 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $10 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $5 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET SELL Down 96¢ $17 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $10 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $36 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $10 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-12.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 996 -3.0% -12.2% 51% 50% -26.3%
≤30d 996 -3.0% -12.2% 51% 50% -26.3%
≤90d 996 -3.0% -12.2% 51% 50% -26.3%
all 996 -3.0% -12.2% 51% 50% -26.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover647.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.2% 50% -26.3%
10% ← realistic here -20.6% 50% -33.4%
15% -28.3% 49% -39.8%
20% -35.3% 48% -45.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.24 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records