Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T15:55:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C9
0xc905…850b
sports · 873 markets active 1h ago
3.0score
+$5,147 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$632 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Net worth$1,042
Realized+$632
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses475 / 386
Whale WR (big bets)60%
Est. fees paid−$3,315
Open positions3
Markets (closed)861 / 873
History coverage78d
Avg bet$380
Trades / day19.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit76%
Chart Positions 3 History 861 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1,107
7 days+$8,896
14 days+$11,651
30 days+$12,287
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Kai Havertz: 1+ goals Yes 58¢ 58¢ $394 $396 +$2 (+1%)
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Score Yes 42¢ 42¢ $350 $346 −$4 (-1%)
Málaga CF vs. UD Almería: Both Teams to Score Yes 56¢ 56¢ $300 $300 +$0 (+0%)
Roland Garros ATP: Vit Kopriva vs Corentin Moutet Corentin Moutet 42¢ $299 $0 −$299 (-100%)
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Yannick Hanfmann Yannick Hanfmann 44¢ $979 $0 −$979 (-100%)
Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: Both Teams to Score Yes 34¢ $301 $0 −$301 (-100%)
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-05-27? Yes 57¢ $150 $0 −$150 (-100%)
Spread: Denmark (-1.5) Denmark 48¢ $250 $0 −$250 (-100%)
FC Bayern München leading at halftime? Yes 55¢ $500 $0 −$500 (-100%)
Hull City AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC: Both Teams to Score Yes 48¢ $800 $0 −$800 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Martin Landaluce Martin Landaluce 34¢ $584 $0 −$584 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Moise Kouame Adolfo Vallejo 56¢ $863 $0 −$863 (-100%)
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-05-17? Yes 44¢ $150 $0 −$150 (-100%)
Set Handicap: Griekspoor (-1.5) vs Zhang (+1.5) Griekspoor 47¢ $250 $0 −$250 (-100%)
UD Almería vs. Real Valladolid CF: Both Teams to Score Yes 54¢ $350 $0 −$350 (-100%)
Hamburg European Open: Ugo Humbert vs Karen Khachanov Karen Khachanov 54¢ $250 $0 −$250 (-100%)
Atalanta BC vs. Bologna FC 1909: Both Teams to Score Yes 60¢ $370 $0 −$370 (-100%)
Will Denmark win on 2026-06-03? Yes 53¢ $400 $0 −$400 (-100%)
Set Handicap: Vallejo (-1.5) vs Kouame (+1.5) Vallejo 63¢ $293 $0 −$293 (-100%)
Geneva Open: Taylor Fritz vs Alexei Popyrin Taylor Fritz 53¢ $320 $0 −$320 (-100%)
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5) Netherlands 58¢ $1,948 $0 −$1,948 (-100%)
Greece vs. Italy: Both Teams to Score Yes 54¢ $496 $0 −$496 (-100%)
CR Flamengo vs. SE Palmeiras: Both Teams to Score Yes 50¢ $510 $0 −$510 (-100%)
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-05-17? Yes 62¢ $970 $0 −$970 (-100%)
Hamburg European Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Aleksandar Kovacevic Felix Auger-Aliassime 29¢ $350 $0 −$350 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Libema Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Alex de Minaur Jun 14 $732 −$726 -99%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Taylor Fritz Jun 14 $543 −$532 -98%
HSBC Championships: Donna Vekic vs Emma Raducanu Jun 14 $304 −$300 -99%
Halle Open, Qualification: Raphael Collignon vs Roberto Bautista Agut Jun 14 $557 +$290 +52%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Rinky Hijikata Jun 13 $304 −$300 -99%
Set Handicap: Perricard (-1.5) vs Monday (+1.5) Jun 13 $253 +$209 +82%
Set Handicap: Bellucci (-1.5) vs Kukushkin (+1.5) Jun 13 $256 +$173 +68%
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler Jun 13 $1,006 +$832 +83%
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Marin Cilic Jun 13 $699 +$354 +51%
Set Handicap: Landaluce (-1.5) vs Huesler (+1.5) Jun 13 $269 −$265 -99%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro Jun 13 $385 +$345 +90%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $518 +$567 +109%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 AND Will Bosnia and Herzegovina wi Jun 12 $593 +$460 +78%
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 12 $528 −$519 -98%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Jun 12 $329 +$198 +60%
Set Handicap: Minaur (-1.5) vs Bonzi (+1.5) Jun 12 $608 +$463 +76%
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Jun 12 $253 +$201 +79%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Jun 12 $517 +$432 +84%
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino Jun 12 $304 +$213 +70%
Set Handicap: Bublik (-1.5) vs Perricard (+1.5) Jun 12 $442 −$437 -99%
Set Handicap: Auger-Aliassime (-1.5) vs Majchrzak (+1.5) Jun 12 $305 −$300 -98%
Set Handicap: Fritz (-1.5) vs Bellucci (+1.5) Jun 12 $304 −$300 -99%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $1,051 +$1,019 +97%
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 11 $1,455 +$1,160 +80%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $780 +$339 +43%
Mexico leading at halftime? Jun 11 $508 +$533 +105%
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz Jun 11 $870 +$360 +41%
Set Handicap: Fritz (-1.5) vs Landaluce (+1.5) Jun 11 $304 −$300 -99%
Set Handicap: Tiafoe (-1.5) vs Hijikata (+1.5) Jun 11 $549 +$625 +114%
Libema Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Zhizhen Zhang Jun 11 $1,282 −$1,271 -99%
Libema Open: Ugo Humbert vs Benjamin Bonzi Jun 11 $745 −$735 -99%
Set Handicap: Griekspoor (-1.5) vs Zhang (+1.5) Jun 11 $254 −$250 -98%
Stuttgart Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nick Kyrgios Jun 11 $506 −$500 -99%
Set Handicap: Lehecka (-1.5) vs Duckworth (+1.5) Jun 11 $259 −$255 -98%
Spread: Algeria (-1.5) Jun 11 $572 +$654 +114%
England leading at halftime? Jun 11 $667 +$349 +52%
Spread: England (-2.5) Jun 10 $566 +$787 +139%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $511 +$316 +62%
Málaga CF vs. UD Las Palmas: Both Teams to Score Jun 10 $823 +$666 +81%
Spread: Portugal (-1.5) Jun 10 $533 −$525 -98%
Stuttgart Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Alexander Bublik Jun 10 $960 +$396 +41%
Set Handicap: Perricard (-1.5) vs Onclin (+1.5) Jun 10 $255 +$403 +158%
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Yannick Hanfmann Jun 10 $994 −$979 -98%
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Gauthier Onclin Jun 10 $356 +$202 +57%
Set Handicap: Bergs (-1.5) vs McCabe (+1.5) Jun 10 $254 −$250 -98%
Libema Open: James McCabe vs Zizou Bergs Jun 10 $353 −$350 -99%
Set Handicap: Wu (-1.5) vs Boogaard (+1.5) Jun 10 $759 −$750 -99%
Spread: Argentina (-1.5) Jun 10 $319 +$189 +60%
Will CD Castellón win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $128 +$372 +291%
Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score Jun 09 $381 −$375 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 75% −$4,838
other 24% +$5,091
crypto 0% +$55
world 0% +$322
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Kai Havertz: 1+ goals BUY Yes 58¢ $196 42m
Kai Havertz: 1+ goals BUY Yes 58¢ $203 45m
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-14? AND BUY 10¢ $46 46m
Libema Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Alex de Minaur BUY Alex de Minaur 73¢ $1 1h
Libema Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Alex de Minaur BUY Alex de Minaur 69¢ $731 1h
Málaga CF vs. UD Almería: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 56¢ $304 1h
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 42¢ $356 1h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 35¢ $1 3h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 35¢ $297 3h
HSBC Championships: Donna Vekic vs Emma Raducanu BUY Emma Raducanu 54¢ $304 3h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 33¢ $245 3h
Halle Open, Qualification: Raphael Collignon vs Roberto Bautista Agut SELL Raphael Collignon 100¢ $847 3h
Halle Open, Qualification: Raphael Collignon vs Roberto Bautista Agut BUY Raphael Collignon 64¢ $1 6h
Halle Open, Qualification: Raphael Collignon vs Roberto Bautista Agut BUY Raphael Collignon 65¢ $556 6h
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? AND W BUY $13 18h
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? AND BUY 53¢ $855 21h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13 BUY 51¢ $523 22h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-1 BUY 55¢ $507 22h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY 52¢ $528 22h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Rinky Hijikata BUY Dino Prizmic 53¢ $304 23h
Set Handicap: Perricard (-1.5) vs Monday (+1.5) SELL Perricard 100¢ $463 23h
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler BUY Martin Landaluce 46¢ $2 26h
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler BUY Martin Landaluce 45¢ $543 26h
Set Handicap: Perricard (-1.5) vs Monday (+1.5) BUY Perricard 54¢ $253 27h
Set Handicap: Bellucci (-1.5) vs Kukushkin (+1.5) BUY Bellucci 59¢ $253 27h
Set Handicap: Bellucci (-1.5) vs Kukushkin (+1.5) BUY Bellucci 58¢ $3 27h
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Marin Cilic SELL Daniil Medvedev 100¢ $1,053 27h
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler BUY Martin Landaluce 70¢ $230 27h
Set Handicap: Landaluce (-1.5) vs Huesler (+1.5) BUY Landaluce 52¢ $269 27h
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler BUY Martin Landaluce 70¢ $232 27h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +55%
net ROI/market (all)-10.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 97 +13.8% +2.9% 61% 61% +5.6%
≤30d 402 +7.1% -3.1% 57% 57% -2.9%
≤90d 861 -0.9% -10.3% 55% 55% -9.3%
all 861 -0.9% -10.3% 55% 55% -9.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover19.9 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.3% 55% -9.3%
10% -18.9% 55% -18.0%
15% -26.7% 53% -25.9%
20% -33.9% 47% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,041.67 · official $1,086.67 · 1879 history records