Wallet analysis

2026-06-23T00:29:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3.0
score
C9 0xc903…1a6a crypto 52 markets active 2h ago coverage 5d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$151 (+6%) realized +$151 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +6% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -12% what you keep after slip
Net edge-12%after slip
Net WR6%break-even
Win rate100%52W / 0L
Drawdown0%max
Avg bet$50per market
Trades / day12.7pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 5d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$147
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +6%
net ROI/market (all)-4.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 52 +5.9% -4.2% 100% 6% -4.4%
≤30d 52 +5.9% -4.2% 100% 6% -4.4%
≤90d 52 +5.9% -4.2% 100% 6% -4.4%
all 52 +5.9% -4.2% 100% 6% -4.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover12.7 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -4.2% 6% -4.4%
10% -13.3% 0% -13.5%
15% -21.7% 0% -21.9%
20% -29.4% 0% -29.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 8% · top 2 13% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +6% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
87% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +6% · $-wt +6% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +6% → late +6% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.3 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$3 vs — no data
Profit factor
— no data
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

5d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$151
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses52 / 0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)52 / 52
History coverage5d
Avg bet$50
Trades / day12.7
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 52 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 22 $55 +$6 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 22 $48 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 22 $102 +$5 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 22 $106 +$11 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 22 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 22 $92 +$8 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 22 $36 +$4 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 22 $19 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 22 $11 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 22 $12 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 22 $17 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 22 $21 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 22 $40 +$6 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 22 $61 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 22 $93 +$4 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 21 $119 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 21 $22 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 21 $118 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 21 $86 +$4 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 21 $117 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 20 $9 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 20 $116 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 20 $86 +$7 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 20 $51 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 19 $60 +$3 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 19 $18 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 19 $56 +$5 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 19 $23 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 19 $11 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 19 $22 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 19 $40 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 19 $43 +$4 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 19 $11 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 19 $12 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 19 $72 +$7 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 18 $101 +$5 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 18 $52 +$4 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 18 $42 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 18 $8 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 18 $39 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 18 $75 +$3 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 18 $72 +$3 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 18 $46 +$5 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 18 $22 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 18 $34 +$3 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 18 $26 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 18 $77 +$8 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 17 $7 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 17 $28 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 17 $39 +$1 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $55 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $48 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $102 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $33 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $53 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $18 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $92 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $36 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $19 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $21 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $12 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $93 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $40 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $61 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $17 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $11 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $119 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $22 33h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $118 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $4 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $12 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $69 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $2 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $117 43h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $9 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $116 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $86 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $51 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 120 history records