Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T21:31:32+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C8
0xc8f5…017e
crypto · 1844 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$151 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$151 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$151
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)83%
Wins / losses1627 / 340
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1967 / 1844
History coverage31d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day59.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1967 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$128
7 days−$129
14 days−$129
30 days−$155
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Up 75¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+33%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Down 90¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+11%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Down 91¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Up 81¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Down 82¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Down 84¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Up 89¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Up 89¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up 97¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Down 89¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Down 88¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$28
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET SELL Down 90¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $1 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $1 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $1 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $1 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $1 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $1 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $1 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET SELL Up 1¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $1 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)-16.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 263 -48.0% -52.9% 43% 18% -53.0%
≤30d 1797 -8.6% -17.3% 82% 32% -17.2%
≤90d 1967 -7.6% -16.4% 83% 32% -16.4%
all 1967 -7.6% -16.4% 83% 32% -16.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover59.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.4% 32% -16.4%
10% ← realistic here -24.4% 6% -24.4%
15% -31.7% 2% -31.7%
20% -38.4% 1% -38.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.44 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records