Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:10:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C8
0xc8eb…6b20
crypto · 1744 markets active 1h ago
1.0score
+$52 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$52 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$52
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)98%
Wins / losses1707 / 37
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1744 / 1744
History coverage55d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day32.6
Drawdown59%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1744 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$4
7 days−$30
14 days+$15
30 days+$30
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Up 91¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Down 96¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Up 97¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 91¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 98¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 86¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Up 98¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Down 94¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Down 96¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Up 93¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Up 91¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Down 96¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Up 96¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Down 96¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $12 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 11 $8 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 11 $12 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 11 $7 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 11 $8 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 11 $8 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 11 $8 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 11 $8 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 10 $8 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 10 $8 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 10 $8 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 10 $8 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 10 $8 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 10 $8 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 10 $8 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 10 $8 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 10 $8 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 10 $8 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 10 $8 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 10 $8 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 10 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 10 $8 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 10 $8 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 10 $8 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 10 $8 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$52
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $12 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $8 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $8 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $8 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $8 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $8 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $8 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $8 33h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $8 33h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $8 33h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $8 33h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $8 33h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $8 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $8 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $8 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $8 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $8 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $8 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $8 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $8 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $8 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $8 43h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $8 47h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $8 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $8 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $8 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $12 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $7 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $8 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +4%
net ROI/market (all)-9.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 257 -1.2% -10.6% 96% 2% -10.8%
≤30d 981 +0.6% -9.0% 98% 4% -9.1%
≤90d 1744 +0.5% -9.1% 98% 4% -9.1%
all 1744 +0.5% -9.1% 98% 4% -9.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover32.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.1% 4% -9.1%
10% ← realistic here -17.8% 1% -17.8%
15% -25.7% 0% -25.8%
20% -33.0% 0% -33.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records