trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 8 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤30d | 8 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤90d | 17 | -2.4% | -11.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| all | 26 | -1.6% | -11.0% | 4% | 0% | -9.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -11.0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| 10% | -19.5% | 0% | -18.3% |
| 15% | -27.3% | 0% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -34.4% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ali Motahari be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Jun 29 | $64 | $0 | -0% |
| Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Jun 29 | $1,311 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 29 | $1,333 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Jun 29 | $1,264 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomin | Jun 28 | $53 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Clémence Guetté win the 2027 French presidential election? | Jun 28 | $1,269 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | Jun 28 | $1,264 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Reza Pirzadeh be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Jun 28 | $1,233 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Apr 18 | $181 | $0 | -0% |
| Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? | Apr 17 | $7 | $0 | -5% |
| Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Apr 17 | $11 | $0 | -2% |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Apr 17 | $4 | $0 | -7% |
| Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? | Apr 17 | $4 | $0 | -3% |
| Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series? | Apr 16 | $11 | −$1 | -8% |
| Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in | Apr 16 | $3 | $0 | -8% |
| Will Australia win Eurovision 2026? | Apr 16 | $23 | $0 | -2% |
| Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Apr 14 | $5 | $0 | -4% |
| Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Mar 27 | $160 | $0 | -0% |
| Bitcoin all time high by March 31, 2026? | Mar 27 | $20 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Mar 27 | $61 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Houston Rockets win the NBA Western Conference Finals? | Mar 24 | $39 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Mar 24 | $29 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Mar 24 | $25 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Mar 20 | $120 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Gonzaga win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | Mar 20 | $51 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Mar 20 | $27 | $0 | -0% |