Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:08:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C8
0xc8d8…e72d
sports · 834 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$3,641 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3,593 · open −$66
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$96
Realized−$3,593
Unrealized−$66
Win rate (resolved)38%
Wins / losses316 / 508
Est. fees paid−$341
Open positions8
Markets (closed)824 / 834
History coverage220d
Avg bet$53
Trades / day9.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit67%
Chart Positions 8 History 824 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$213
7 days+$395
14 days+$289
30 days−$346
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) Switzerland 35¢ 36¢ $42 $43 +$0 (+1%)
Breel Embolo: 1+ goals Yes 51¢ 52¢ $32 $33 +$1 (+3%)
Switzerland leading at halftime? Yes 63¢ 64¢ $20 $20 +$0 (+1%)
Fenerbahce vs. Besiktas Fenerbahce 41¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$28 (-99%)
Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? Yes 22¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 10¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Will Oscar Piastri get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? Yes 14¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? Yes 12¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-03-22? No 47¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Tyler Herro: Rebounds O/U 4.5 Yes 54¢ 0¢ $53 $0 −$53 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Valencia CF win on 2025-12-19? Yes 26¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Long Beach State Beach vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriors Hawaii Rainbow Warriors 54¢ 0¢ $81 $0 −$81 (-100%)
Nuggets vs. Spurs Spurs 29¢ 0¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
Devils vs. Stars Stars 29¢ 0¢ $58 $0 −$58 (-100%)
Will RCD Mallorca vs. Girona FC end in a draw? Yes 27¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05? No 20¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Tommy Paul Tommy Paul 25¢ 0¢ $42 $0 −$42 (-100%)
Will Goiás EC win on 2026-04-19? Yes 37¢ 0¢ $41 $0 −$41 (-100%)
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-06-07? No 37¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Suns vs. Bucks Bucks 36¢ 0¢ $55 $0 −$55 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Flavio Cobolli 11¢ 0¢ $39 $0 −$39 (-100%)
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Knicks vs. Nuggets Nuggets 15¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee Jun 13 $5 −$2 -41%
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $44 +$7 +17%
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler Jun 13 $45 +$25 +55%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Michael Mmo Jun 13 $19 +$17 +89%
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Spread: United States (-2.5) Jun 13 $16 +$34 +214%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 7.5 Total Corners Jun 13 $12 −$12 -98%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $69 +$65 +94%
Folarin Balogun: 1+ goals Jun 13 $18 +$36 +203%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro Jun 12 $91 −$4 -4%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $77 −$42 -54%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $46 +$34 +75%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter Jun 12 $21 +$55 +261%
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Jun 12 $34 +$45 +132%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $27 −$26 -98%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 12 $36 −$36 -99%
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 0 South Africa? Jun 11 $16 −$16 -98%
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 11 $54 +$36 +67%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $123 +$53 +43%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $38 +$16 +42%
Panathinaikos vs. Olympiacos B.C. Jun 10 $95 +$50 +53%
Besiktas vs. Bahcesehir Koleji Jun 10 $30 +$44 +147%
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights Jun 10 $120 +$20 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -94%
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $44 −$43 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$24 +456%
Will Fortaleza EC win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $29 −$29 -100%
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 09 $14 +$11 +80%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $94 +$57 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 08 $10 +$9 +83%
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Panathinaikos Jun 08 $9 −$9 -97%
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs Jun 08 $28 +$14 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 08 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 08 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 07 $15 −$14 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 07 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 07 $7 +$57 +770%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 07 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 07 $7 −$2 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 07 $13 −$2 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 07 $13 −$12 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 07 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 07 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 07 $16 −$15 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 07 $11 +$22 +206%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 07 $26 +$12 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 07 $21 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 07 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 07 $5 +$15 +272%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 07 $10 +$15 +140%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 61% −$3,737
other 37% +$301
crypto 1% +$39
culture 1% −$223
world 0% −$57
weather 0% +$28
politics 0% −$9
economics 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Fenerbahce vs. Besiktas BUY Fenerbahce 15¢ $3 21m
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee SELL Yes 0¢ $3 21m
Fenerbahce vs. Besiktas BUY Fenerbahce 52¢ $6 29m
Fenerbahce vs. Besiktas BUY Fenerbahce 52¢ $10 29m
Fenerbahce vs. Besiktas BUY Fenerbahce 52¢ $9 29m
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) BUY Switzerland 36¢ $7 47m
Fenerbahce vs. Besiktas SELL Fenerbahce 88¢ $48 50m
Switzerland leading at halftime? BUY Yes 63¢ $20 1h
Breel Embolo: 1+ goals BUY Yes 51¢ $31 1h
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 2¢ $51 1h
Fenerbahce vs. Besiktas BUY Fenerbahce 58¢ $2 1h
Fenerbahce vs. Besiktas SELL Besiktas 45¢ $2 1h
Fenerbahce vs. Besiktas BUY Fenerbahce 55¢ $29 1h
Fenerbahce vs. Besiktas BUY Besiktas 28¢ $1 1h
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Panathinaikos BUY Panathinaikos 6¢ $3 2h
Breel Embolo: 1+ goals BUY Yes 51¢ $1 2h
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) BUY Switzerland 35¢ $36 2h
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Panathinaikos BUY Panathinaikos 18¢ $6 3h
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler SELL Martin Landaluce 86¢ $70 4h
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler BUY Martin Landaluce 44¢ $10 4h
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler BUY Martin Landaluce 57¢ $35 4h
Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand P BUY Yes 22¢ $0 5h
Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand P BUY Yes 22¢ $2 5h
Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand P BUY Yes 22¢ $6 5h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Michael Mmo SELL Aleksandar Kovacevic 72¢ $36 5h
Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand P BUY Yes 22¢ $5 5h
Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand P BUY Yes 22¢ $7 5h
Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand P BUY Yes 22¢ $2 5h
Will Oscar Piastri get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Pr BUY Yes 14¢ $6 5h
Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Pri BUY Yes 12¢ $4 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-18.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 71 +27.5% +15.3% 45% 45% +13.1%
≤30d 193 -4.4% -13.5% 37% 36% -14.2%
≤90d 572 -4.4% -13.5% 40% 39% -10.9%
all 824 -10.2% -18.7% 38% 38% -17.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.4 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -18.7% 38% -17.6%
10% -26.5% 37% -25.5%
15% -33.6% 35% -32.7%
20% -40.1% 32% -39.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $95.99 · official $112.80 · 2084 history records