Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T16:33:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C8
0xc8c8…b949
sports · 632 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$114 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$63 · open −$51
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$476
Realized−$63
Unrealized−$51
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses294 / 326
Est. fees paid−$116
Open positions12
Markets (closed)620 / 632
History coverage63d
Avg bet$18
Trades / day15.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit85%
Chart Positions 12 History 620 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$142
7 days+$2
14 days+$212
30 days+$128
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? Yes 16¢ 24¢ $41 $62 +$21 (+52%)
Will Iran close its airspace by June 13? No 71¢ 99¢ $44 $62 +$18 (+41%)
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? No 76¢ 100¢ $44 $57 +$13 (+31%)
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: Both Teams to Score in First Half No 81¢ 82¢ $44 $45 +$1 (+2%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Vitality 78¢ 78¢ $44 $45 +$0 (+1%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 82¢ 81¢ $44 $44 −$0 (-1%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? No 43¢ 42¢ $44 $42 −$2 (-3%)
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14 No 77¢ 68¢ $45 $39 −$6 (-12%)
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? No 68¢ 56¢ $45 $37 −$8 (-18%)
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16? No 60¢ 34¢ $44 $25 −$20 (-44%)
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? Yes 22¢ 8¢ $43 $17 −$26 (-61%)
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14? Yes 42¢ 2¢ $45 $2 −$43 (-96%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $44 +$19 +44%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Kamilla Rakhimo Jun 13 $46 −$2 -3%
Will Iran close its airspace by June 12? Jun 13 $43 +$14 +33%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $45 −$45 -100%
Spread: United States (-1.5) Jun 13 $45 −$45 -100%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $45 −$45 -100%
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $44 +$13 +29%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $44 +$111 +250%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $44 +$11 +26%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D Jun 12 $42 +$15 +36%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $45 +$10 +23%
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Jun 12 $42 +$16 +38%
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova Jun 12 $40 +$13 +32%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Jun 12 $44 +$17 +40%
Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) Jun 12 $45 +$20 +44%
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch Jun 12 $44 +$14 +32%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $44 −$44 -100%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $45 +$22 +50%
Israel closes its airspace by June 11? Jun 12 $36 −$36 -100%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $45 +$74 +165%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $44 +$19 +44%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $45 +$20 +44%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $44 +$30 +67%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Quali Jun 12 $46 −$46 -100%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Korea Republic O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $45 +$18 +39%
Tucuman: Federico Coria vs Andrea Collarini Jun 12 $45 −$45 -100%
Iran closes its airspace by June 8? Jun 12 $43 −$43 -100%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $45 +$19 +42%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $44 +$19 +44%
Yunchaokete Bu vs. Leandro Riedi: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $46 −$2 -3%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $45 +$34 +76%
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Hynek Barton Jun 11 $43 +$22 +50%
Libema Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Elise Mertens Jun 11 $44 −$44 -100%
LoL: Weibo Gaming Youth Team vs Saigon Warriors (BO3) - Asia Masters G Jun 11 $45 +$25 +56%
Will Iran close its airspace by June 10? Jun 11 $45 +$21 +46%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $44 −$44 -100%
LoL: PCIFIC vs Forsaken (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B Jun 11 $43 −$43 -100%
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $44 +$30 +68%
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 1.5 Jun 10 $44 +$13 +29%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $44 +$29 +65%
Set 1 Winner: Dart vs Bencic Jun 10 $45 −$1 -2%
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Belinda Bencic Jun 10 $45 −$1 -2%
HSBC Championships: Victoria Mboko vs Karolina Pliskova Jun 10 $42 −$42 -100%
Libema Open: James McCabe vs Zizou Bergs Jun 10 $45 −$45 -100%
Bratislava: Vitaliy Sachko vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Jun 10 $44 +$16 +36%
Libema Open: Thijs Boogaard vs Yibing Wu Jun 10 $44 −$44 -100%
Tucuman: Thiago Cigarran vs Valerio Aboian Jun 10 $45 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 10 $46 +$29 +63%
Israel closes its airspace by June 9? Jun 10 $45 +$37 +82%
Argentina vs. Iceland: O/U 1.5 Jun 10 $44 +$22 +50%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 77% −$38
other 13% +$47
world 7% −$21
crypto 2% +$22
finance 1% −$87
weather 0% −$39
politics 0% +$5
economics 0% −$1
tech 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 82¢ $44 1h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 69¢ $44 4h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Kamilla Rakhimo BUY Oksana Selekhmeteva 51¢ $46 4h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 43¢ $45 5h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? BUY No 68¢ $45 11h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16? BUY No 60¢ $44 11h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 78¢ $45 14h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 61¢ $45 15h
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 0.5 BUY Over 77¢ $44 16h
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D BUY Eintracht Spandau 73¢ $42 21h
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 0.5 BUY Over 81¢ $45 21h
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: Both Teams to Score in First Half BUY No 81¢ $44 22h
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Iva Jovic 75¢ $40 24h
Spread: United States (-1.5) BUY Paraguay 78¢ $45 24h
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 72¢ $42 24h
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch BUY Darwin Blanch 75¢ $44 25h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 28¢ $44 26h
Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) BUY Monte 69¢ $45 29h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? BUY Yes 16¢ $41 30h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 53¢ $45 31h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY TheMongolz 66¢ $45 32h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? BUY Yes 22¢ $43 33h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 59¢ $44 37h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14 BUY No 77¢ $45 37h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Korea Republic O/U 0.5 BUY Over 72¢ $45 38h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Korea Republic O/U 0.5 BUY Over 72¢ $0 38h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 69¢ $44 38h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? BUY No 76¢ $44 39h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY No 69¢ $45 40h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 79¢ $44 41h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-20.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 114 +0.7% -8.9% 56% 56% -9.5%
≤30d 265 -0.2% -9.7% 52% 52% -8.1%
≤90d 620 -12.2% -20.5% 47% 45% -10.0%
all 620 -12.2% -20.5% 47% 45% -10.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover15.6 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -20.5% 45% -10.0%
10% -28.1% 42% -18.6%
15% -35.1% 31% -26.5%
20% -41.4% 22% -33.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $476.41 · official $476.42 (match) · 1596 history records