Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T08:06:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C8
0xc8c5…ae20
sports · 7 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$6 -51%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$6 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$5
Realized−$6
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 2
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions5
Markets (closed)2 / 7
History coverage1d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day7.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit71%
Chart Positions 5 History 2 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6
7 days−$6
14 days−$6
30 days−$6
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? Yes 4¢ 4¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? Yes 7¢ 7¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Will Brazil vs. Haiti end in a draw? Yes 7¢ 7¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+0%)
Will France vs. Iraq end in a draw? Yes 9¢ 8¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-6%)
Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw? Yes 8¢ 8¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-6%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $5 −$5 -99%
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 54% −$6
sports 46% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will France vs. Iraq end in a draw? BUY Yes 9¢ $1 1h
Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw? BUY Yes 8¢ $1 1h
Will Brazil vs. Haiti end in a draw? BUY Yes 7¢ $1 1h
Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? BUY Yes 7¢ $1 1h
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? BUY Yes 4¢ $1 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $5 11h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 12h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-100.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤30d 2 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤90d 2 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
all 2 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -100.0% 0% -100.0%
10% -100.0% 0% -100.0%
15% -100.0% 0% -100.0%
20% -100.0% 0% -100.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5.15 · official $5.15 (match) · 7 history records