Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:47:46+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C8
0xc8ac…bfd5
crypto · 854 markets active 0h ago
4.0score
+$284 +30%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$284 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$284
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)18%
Wins / losses121 / 536
Open positions0
Markets (closed)657 / 854
History coverage56d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day17.9
Drawdown25%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 657 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$57
7 days+$82
14 days+$162
30 days+$280
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Down 16¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+525%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$5 +574%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$4 +426%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$6 +614%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$9 +945%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$9 +945%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$5 +574%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$5 +529%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$7 +841%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$7 +685%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$7 +685%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$8 +841%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$6 +625%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$4 +398%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$5 +525%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -94%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$284
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 14¢ $1 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $0 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 19¢ $1 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Down 8¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 11¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 13¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 14¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 14¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 14¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 9¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 17¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 9¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 14¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 16¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 12¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Down 16¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 11¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 7¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 18¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 11¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 11¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 12¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $1 10h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +18%
net ROI/market (all)+26.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 149 +54.1% +39.4% 21% 21% +43.4%
≤30d 548 +47.9% +33.8% 19% 19% +38.3%
≤90d 657 +39.6% +26.3% 18% 18% +25.5%
all 657 +39.6% +26.3% 18% 18% +25.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover17.9 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to15%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +26.3% 18% +25.5%
10% +14.2% 18% +13.5%
15% +3.2% 18% +2.6%
20% -7.0% 18% -7.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.25 · official $0.00 (match) · 1131 history records