Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:02:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C8
0xc8a2…c590
other · 93 markets active 0h ago
3.0score
+$3,430 +25%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$3,318 · open +$18
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$642
Realized+$3,318
Unrealized+$18
Win rate (resolved)39%
Wins / losses32 / 50
Whale WR (big bets)56%
Est. fees paid−$123
Open positions11
Markets (closed)82 / 93
History coverage117d
Avg bet$146
Trades / day29.2
Drawdown29%
Kalshi-fit35%
Chart Positions 11 History 82 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$107
7 days+$196
14 days+$2,107
30 days+$2,263
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 4¢ 5¢ $332 $344 +$12 (+4%)
Will G2 win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $70 $52 −$18 (-26%)
Will Monte win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $26 $51 +$25 (+97%)
Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 7¢ 8¢ $42 $45 +$3 (+7%)
Will 9z win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 0¢ 1¢ $32 $35 +$3 (+11%)
Will Natus Vincere win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 6¢ 5¢ $39 $34 −$5 (-12%)
Will Aurora win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $36 $30 −$6 (-16%)
Will Vitality qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs? No 3¢ 3¢ $18 $19 +$0 (+2%)
Will BetBoom win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $11 $16 +$5 (+46%)
Will The MongolZ win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $12 $13 +$1 (+4%)
Will B8 win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $4 $2 −$3 (-62%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 MOUZ 0¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Will MIBR win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Astralis win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will FlyQuest win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will TYLOO win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Team Liquid win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Will NRG win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Will GamerLegion win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will paiN win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 M80 6¢ 0¢ $53 $0 −$53 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 B8 1¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Will Lynn Vision win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will M80 win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will FUT win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 12 $111 +$37 +33%
Will PARIVISION win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 12 $90 −$23 -26%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $18 −$11 -61%
Will MOUZ win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 12 $55 +$22 +41%
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 12 $99 +$8 +8%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $59 +$76 +128%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $409 +$5 +1%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $20 −$8 -38%
Will TYLOO win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 08 $29 −$10 -35%
Will M80 win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 07 $18 +$13 +71%
Will Astralis win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 07 $53 −$12 -23%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $216 −$66 -31%
Will MIBR win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 07 $13 −$5 -34%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $705 +$131 +19%
Will GamerLegion win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 06 $19 +$3 +14%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Monte (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $112 +$72 +64%
Will paiN win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 06 $14 −$11 -80%
Will Legacy win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 06 $56 −$11 -19%
Will NRG win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 05 $20 −$18 -93%
Will BIG win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 05 $7 +$4 +63%
Will Team Falcons win DreamLeague Season 29? Jun 05 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Team Liquid win DreamLeague Season 29? Jun 05 $1 −$1 -100%
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage Jun 05 $6 −$6 -100%
Will HEROIC win PGL Wallachia Season 7? Jun 05 $12 $0 -2%
Will Team Liquid win PGL Wallachia Season 7? Jun 05 $53 +$10 +18%
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreeva Jun 05 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Natus Vincere win DreamLeague Season 29? Jun 05 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Marta Kostyuk win the 2026 Women’s French Open? Jun 05 $73 +$297 +406%
Will Naomi Osaka win the 2026 Women’s French Open? Jun 05 $40 −$31 -76%
Will Ninjas in Pyjamas win Blast Open Rotterdam 2026? Jun 05 $4 +$1 +32%
Will Sharks win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 05 $12 −$7 -59%
Will Team Liquid win Blast Open Rotterdam 2026? Jun 05 $6 −$4 -73%
Will The MongolZ win Blast Open Rotterdam 2026? Jun 05 $17 −$15 -88%
Will Thunder downunder win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 05 $12 +$14 +116%
Will B8 win Blast Open Rotterdam 2026? Jun 05 $13 −$13 -100%
Will Aurora Gaming win DreamLeague Season 29? Jun 05 $109 +$116 +106%
Will Parivision win Blast Open Rotterdam 2026? Jun 05 $8 −$8 -100%
Will Natus Vincere win Blast Open Rotterdam 2026? Jun 05 $12 −$1 -12%
Will Vitality win Blast Open Rotterdam 2026? Jun 05 $142 −$142 -100%
Will Team Spirit win PGL Wallachia Season 7? Jun 05 $47 −$47 -100%
Will Tundra Esports win PGL Wallachia Season 7? Jun 05 $22 −$22 -100%
Will Belinda Bencic win the 2026 Women’s French Open? Jun 05 $12 −$12 -100%
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026? Jun 05 $23 −$23 -100%
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? Jun 05 $225 −$225 -100%
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League? Jun 05 $1,015 −$198 -20%
Will Aurora win Blast Open Rotterdam 2026? Jun 05 $55 −$29 -52%
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League? Jun 05 $105 −$105 -100%
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? Jun 05 $36 −$36 -100%
Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League? Jun 05 $378 +$628 +166%
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? Jun 05 $944 −$116 -12%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 64% +$2,904
other 36% +$491
world 0% −$59
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will G2 win IEM Cologne Major 2026? SELL Yes 1¢ $31 12m
Will FUT win IEM Cologne Major 2026? SELL Yes 0¢ $6 13m
Will FUT win IEM Cologne Major 2026? SELL Yes 0¢ $2 13m
Will FUT win IEM Cologne Major 2026? SELL Yes 1¢ $7 45m
Will PARIVISION win IEM Cologne Major 2026? SELL Yes 0¢ $5 1h
Will Monte win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 1h
Will PARIVISION win IEM Cologne Major 2026? SELL Yes 0¢ $11 1h
Will Monte win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $6 1h
Will PARIVISION win IEM Cologne Major 2026? SELL Yes 0¢ $15 1h
Will PARIVISION win IEM Cologne Major 2026? SELL Yes 1¢ $5 1h
Will FUT win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 1¢ $5 1h
Will FUT win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 1¢ $4 1h
Will FUT win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 1¢ $4 1h
Will PARIVISION win IEM Cologne Major 2026? SELL Yes 1¢ $3 1h
Will FUT win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 1¢ $4 1h
Will Monte win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $1 2h
Will G2 win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 1¢ $39 2h
Will PARIVISION win IEM Cologne Major 2026? SELL Yes 1¢ $1 2h
Will FUT win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 2h
Will PARIVISION win IEM Cologne Major 2026? SELL Yes 1¢ $3 2h
Will PARIVISION win IEM Cologne Major 2026? SELL Yes 1¢ $6 2h
Will 9z win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 3h
Will 9z win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 3h
Will 9z win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 3h
Will 9z win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 3h
Will 9z win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 3h
Will 9z win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 3h
Will 9z win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 3h
Will PARIVISION win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 1¢ $32 3h
Will 9z win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)+2.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 20 +52.4% +37.9% 50% 40% +2.6%
≤30d 59 -0.3% -9.8% 34% 31% +18.3%
≤90d 66 +16.9% +5.8% 36% 33% +11.9%
all 82 +12.8% +2.0% 39% 32% +15.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover29.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +2.0% 32% +15.7%
10% ← realistic here -7.7% 28% +4.6%
15% -16.6% 24% -5.5%
20% -24.8% 23% -14.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $641.50 · official $641.50 (match) · 3500 history records