Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T20:59:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C8
0xc885…984f
crypto · 699 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$184 -14%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$184 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$6
Realized−$184
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses374 / 322
Est. fees paid−$5
Open positions3
Markets (closed)696 / 699
History coverage19d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day39.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 3 History 696 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$2
7 days−$6
14 days−$129
30 days−$184
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? No 53¢ 52¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? No 88¢ 84¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-4%)
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? No 43¢ 40¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-8%)
Roland Garros ATP: Vit Kopriva vs Corentin Moutet Corentin Moutet 62¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on June 10? Yes 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Linda Fruhvirtova vs Elsa Jacquemot Linda Fruhvirtova 3¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on June 3? Yes 24¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 11? Yes 30¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on June 3? Yes 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Spread: Germany (-1.5) Finland 29¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on June 3? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants 33¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +72%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $2 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +117%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on June 11? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -95%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on June 11? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +49%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 65% −$70
sports 25% −$67
other 6% −$16
weather 4% −$30
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $1 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $1 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $1 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $1 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $1 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $1 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $1 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $1 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $1 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $1 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $1 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $1 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-21.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 214 -3.5% -12.7% 61% 61% -11.2%
≤30d 696 -12.9% -21.2% 54% 52% -19.8%
≤90d 696 -12.9% -21.2% 54% 52% -19.8%
all 696 -12.9% -21.2% 54% 52% -19.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover39.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -21.2% 52% -19.8%
10% ← realistic here -28.7% 49% -27.5%
15% -35.6% 40% -34.5%
20% -41.9% 27% -40.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5.74 · official $5.74 (match) · 1181 history records