Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T17:11:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
C8 0xc87e…a407 crypto 1671 markets active 0h ago coverage 28d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (64 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$1,722 (+4%) realized +$1,722 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR5%break-even
Win rate95%1582W / 89L
Drawdown45%max
Avg bet$26per market
Trades / day63.6pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1,234
7 days+$1,234
14 days+$1,234
30 days+$1,230
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$1,230
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (64 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +5%
net ROI/market (all)-9.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 117 +4.2% -5.7% 58% 57% -0.4%
≤30d 1671 +0.6% -9.0% 95% 5% -6.9%
≤90d 1671 +0.6% -9.0% 95% 5% -6.9%
all 1671 +0.6% -9.0% 95% 5% -6.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover63.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.0% 5% -6.9%
10% ← realistic here -17.7% 4% -15.8%
15% -25.7% 4% -24.0%
20% -33.0% 3% -31.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 7% · top 2 14% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
95% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +1% · $-wt +3% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +1% → late +0% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$4 vs −$64 · ×0.07 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.22 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

28d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$1,722
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)95%
Wins / losses1582 / 89
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1671 / 1671
History coverage28d
Avg bet$26
Trades / day63.6
Drawdown45%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1671 Trades
no open positions (87 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 17 $183 −$175 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 17 $7 +$3 +48%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 17 $26 +$38 +146%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 17 $26 +$11 +44%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 17 $13 +$7 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 17 $26 +$30 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 17 $205 −$200 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 17 $230 +$91 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 17 $30 −$29 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 17 $95 −$92 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 17 $33 −$32 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 17 $26 +$23 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 17 $18 −$17 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 17 $13 +$8 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 17 $14 −$13 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 17 $146 +$80 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 17 $26 −$25 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 17 $26 −$25 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$5 +105%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 17 $4 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 17 $143 +$128 +89%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 17 $26 −$25 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 17 $26 +$20 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 17 $287 −$277 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 17 $202 −$196 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 17 $103 +$61 +59%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 17 $26 −$25 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 17 $130 +$130 +100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 17 $133 −$129 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 17 $95 +$94 +99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 17 $11 −$11 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 17 $56 −$53 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 17 $41 +$30 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 17 $28 −$27 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 17 $88 +$129 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 17 $254 +$103 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 17 $105 −$101 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 17 $14 −$14 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 17 $26 +$23 +90%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 17 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 17 $336 −$325 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 17 $26 +$11 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 17 $86 +$42 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 17 $112 −$108 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 17 $45 +$28 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 17 $364 +$495 +136%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 17 $6 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 17 $25 +$8 +31%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $7 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $7 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $104 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $64 10m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $7 16m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $26 27m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $26 40m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $13 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $26 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $103 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $103 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $102 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $102 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $95 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $17 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $17 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $18 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $13 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $14 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $44 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $103 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $26 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $26 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $5 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $4 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $26 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3395 history records