Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T16:01:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C8
0xc875…359a
crypto · 979 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$6 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$90 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$90
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)83%
Wins / losses809 / 170
Open positions0
Markets (closed)979 / 979
History coverage50d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day26.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 979 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$15
7 days−$6
14 days+$2
30 days−$69
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Up 96¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $9 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 14 $7 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $9 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 14 $7 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 14 $7 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $9 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +6%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 14 $7 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $9 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$4 -66%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11AM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $18 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$90
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 16m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $4 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $7 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $9 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $9 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $7 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $7 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $9 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET SELL Up 34¢ $2 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $6 14h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 14h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 18h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 18h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $6 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $6 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 23h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $6 24h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +9%
net ROI/market (all)-10.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 112 -0.2% -9.7% 96% 0% -10.3%
≤30d 599 -0.9% -10.4% 81% 15% -10.5%
≤90d 979 -0.8% -10.2% 83% 9% -10.3%
all 979 -0.8% -10.2% 83% 9% -10.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover26.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.2% 9% -10.3%
10% ← realistic here -18.8% 6% -18.9%
15% -26.6% 2% -26.7%
20% -33.8% 0% -33.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2121 history records