trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 12 | -67.6% | -70.7% | 8% | 8% | -44.6% |
| ≤30d | 16 | -75.7% | -78.0% | 6% | 6% | -77.5% |
| ≤90d | 108 | -10.6% | -19.1% | 29% | 29% | -20.8% |
| all | 558 | -2.3% | -11.6% | 33% | 32% | -17.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -11.6% | 32% | -17.2% |
| 10% | -20.0% | 31% | -25.2% |
| 15% | -27.8% | 30% | -32.4% |
| 20% | -34.8% | 28% | -39.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Canada win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 35¢ | 60¢ | $30 | $51 | +$21 (+71%) |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? | No | 43¢ | 42¢ | $50 | $49 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Will Austria win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 19¢ | 14¢ | $53 | $38 | −$15 (-28%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exact Score: Türkiye 1 - 2 Paraguay? | Jun 20 | $10 | −$1 | -5% |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $54 | −$53 | -99% |
| Exact Score: Türkiye 2 - 1 Paraguay? | Jun 20 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 20 | $37 | −$4 | -11% |
| Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score | Jun 18 | $49 | +$51 | +105% |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $30 | −$30 | -99% |
| Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Exact Score: France 0 - 0 Senegal? | Jun 16 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Senegal? | Jun 16 | $8 | −$8 | -97% |
| Exact Score: France 2 - 2 Senegal? | Jun 16 | $3 | −$3 | -97% |
| Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Senegal? | Jun 16 | $8 | −$8 | -97% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 27 | $114 | −$112 | -98% |
| Knicks vs. Cavaliers | May 24 | $112 | −$112 | -100% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | May 23 | $77 | −$76 | -99% |
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks | May 21 | $41 | −$40 | -98% |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16? | May 17 | $30 | +$23 | +76% |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? | May 13 | $31 | −$30 | -98% |
| Timberwolves vs. Spurs | May 13 | $31 | −$26 | -84% |
| Thunder vs. Lakers | May 12 | $21 | −$20 | -98% |
| Spurs vs. Timberwolves | May 11 | $81 | +$138 | +170% |
| Spread: Thunder (-9.5) | May 10 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Thunder vs. Lakers | May 10 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Spurs vs. Timberwolves | May 09 | $49 | −$48 | -98% |
| Knicks vs. 76ers | May 09 | $31 | −$30 | -98% |
| Will Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw? | May 05 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05? | May 05 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | May 05 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals? | May 05 | $21 | −$20 | -97% |
| 76ers vs. Knicks | May 05 | $31 | −$30 | -98% |
| NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Cavaliers vs. Pistons | May 05 | $51 | −$50 | -99% |
| Timberwolves vs. Spurs | May 05 | $51 | +$101 | +197% |
| 76ers vs. Knicks | May 05 | $55 | −$55 | -100% |
| Raptors vs. Cavaliers | May 04 | $82 | −$80 | -98% |
| 76ers vs. Celtics | May 03 | $40 | +$28 | +70% |
| Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals? | May 03 | $50 | −$39 | -78% |
| Lakers vs. Rockets | May 02 | $41 | −$40 | -98% |
| Cavaliers vs. Raptors | May 02 | $9 | −$9 | -98% |
| Pistons vs. Magic | May 02 | $21 | +$134 | +650% |
| Nuggets vs. Timberwolves | May 01 | $41 | +$88 | +216% |
| Celtics vs. 76ers | May 01 | $41 | +$51 | +124% |
| Raptors vs. Cavaliers | Apr 30 | $22 | −$22 | -100% |
| Nuggets vs. Timberwolves | Apr 26 | $20 | +$83 | +414% |
| Thunder vs. Suns | Apr 25 | $20 | −$19 | -97% |
| Spurs vs. Trail Blazers | Apr 25 | $40 | +$66 | +165% |
| Lakers vs. Rockets | Apr 25 | $40 | +$81 | +204% |
| Rockets vs. Lakers | Apr 22 | $40 | −$39 | -98% |
| Timberwolves vs. Nuggets | Apr 21 | $100 | +$285 | +285% |
| Rockets vs. Lakers | Apr 19 | $100 | −$97 | -97% |
| Timberwolves vs. Nuggets | Apr 18 | $91 | −$89 | -98% |