trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | -2.7% | -11.9% | 25% | 0% | -12.3% |
| ≤30d | 15 | +3.4% | -6.5% | 67% | 40% | -12.1% |
| ≤90d | 18 | -8.0% | -16.7% | 61% | 33% | -13.6% |
| all | 21 | -11.5% | -19.9% | 62% | 29% | -13.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -19.9% | 29% | -13.7% |
| 10% | -27.6% | 14% | -22.0% |
| 15% | -34.6% | 5% | -29.5% |
| 20% | -41.0% | 5% | -36.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 82¢ | 81¢ | $68 | $68 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 83¢ | 82¢ | $65 | $64 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 88¢ | 88¢ | $38 | $38 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | Jun 27 | $37 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jun 27 | $39 | $0 | +0% |
| Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? | Jun 27 | $53 | −$4 | -7% |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? | Jun 27 | $57 | −$2 | -3% |
| Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential ele | Jun 15 | $3 | +$1 | +35% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | Jun 15 | $24 | +$4 | +15% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? | Jun 15 | $31 | +$1 | +4% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Jun 15 | $48 | +$2 | +5% |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 15 | $73 | −$14 | -19% |
| Roland Garros ATP: Nuno Borges vs Andrey Rublev | Jun 15 | $1 | $0 | +32% |
| Dota 2: Team Liquid vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage | Jun 15 | $2 | +$1 | +55% |
| Roland Garros ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Pablo Carreno Busta | May 29 | $1 | −$1 | -99% |
| Epstein suicide note released by May 31? | May 29 | $1 | $0 | +12% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | May 29 | $3 | $0 | +12% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 15? | May 29 | $2 | $0 | +10% |
| Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-11? | May 11 | $2 | −$2 | -99% |
| Will Greece win Eurovision 2026? | May 11 | $5 | −$5 | -96% |
| Nets vs. Celtics | May 11 | $2 | $0 | +6% |
| Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs? | Feb 28 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of January? | Feb 28 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $125 by end of January? | Feb 28 | $2 | $0 | +1% |