Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T23:48:50+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C8
0xc825…edb7
crypto · 116 markets active 0h ago
7.0score
+$79 +20%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$80 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3
Realized+$80
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses71 / 44
Open positions1
Markets (closed)115 / 116
History coverage35d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day3.3
Drawdown22%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 115 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$85
7 days+$85
14 days+$85
30 days+$85
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Down 28¢ 22¢ $4 $3 −$1 (-23%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$7 +312%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$4 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$5 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$4 +208%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$4 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$3 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$4 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$6 +280%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$5 +240%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +16%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$79
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $4 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $2 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $4 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $2 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $2 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $2 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $4 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $2 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $4 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $2 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 24¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +55%
net ROI/market (all)+5.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 108 +18.8% +7.5% 62% 55% +12.7%
≤30d 108 +18.8% +7.5% 62% 55% +12.7%
≤90d 115 +17.0% +5.8% 62% 55% +9.6%
all 115 +17.0% +5.8% 62% 55% +9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.3 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +5.8% 55% +9.6%
10% -4.3% 43% -0.9%
15% -13.6% 39% -10.4%
20% -22.0% 37% -19.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3.07 · official $4.79 · 189 history records