Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:55:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C8
0xc824…5e0b
sports · 674 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$131 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$129 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$10
Realized−$129
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses336 / 332
Est. fees paid−$30
Open positions6
Markets (closed)668 / 674
History coverage72d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day23.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 6 History 668 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$26
7 days+$40
14 days+$37
30 days+$20
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Vitality 79¢ 100¢ $3 $3 +$1 (+26%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 PARIVISION 40¢ 29¢ $3 $2 −$1 (-28%)
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs EDward Gaming 47¢ 100¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+113%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner PARIVISION 46¢ 86¢ $1 $1 +$1 (+86%)
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 49¢ 38¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-21%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner PARIVISION 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 MOUZ 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) Jun 13 $1 +$1 +97%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $3 +$1 +29%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $1 +$1 +118%
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5) Jun 13 $2 +$1 +65%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $2 +$1 +35%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $1 +$4 +344%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $2 +$11 +512%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $3 +$3 +108%
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Jun 13 $2 +$1 +42%
Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics Jun 13 $1 +$1 +94%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $1 $0 +6%
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $2 +$1 +90%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $2 +$1 +32%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) Jun 12 $2 +$1 +67%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $4 $0 -11%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $1 $0 +34%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $4 +$2 +42%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $2 +$2 +101%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $2 +$7 +326%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $2 −$1 -56%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 12 $4 +$4 +80%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $1 $0 +40%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $3 $0 +3%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $1 +$1 +62%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $1 +$1 +60%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $3 +$3 +75%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $4 −$4 -99%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5 Jun 11 $1 +$1 +105%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 11 $4 +$4 +86%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 11 $5 +$3 +76%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5 Jun 11 $1 +$1 +97%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5 Jun 10 $1 +$1 +97%
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winner Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5 Jun 10 $3 +$4 +124%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5 Jun 10 $2 +$2 +90%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 97% −$128
other 3% +$2
world 0% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 40¢ $1 58m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 80¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 79¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner SELL PARIVISION 44¢ $0 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner SELL PARIVISION 44¢ $0 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner SELL PARIVISION 44¢ $0 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY PARIVISION 46¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner BUY PARIVISION 22¢ $1 1h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play SELL EDward Gaming 45¢ $0 2h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play BUY EDward Gaming 47¢ $1 2h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 40¢ $1 2h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Monte 42¢ $1 3h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 77¢ $1 3h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 77¢ $2 3h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 40¢ $1 3h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 42¢ $1 4h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 26¢ $1 4h
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) BUY Monte 50¢ $1 5h
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 91¢ $1 6h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner BUY Team WE 27¢ $1 6h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Team WE 22¢ $1 7h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major SELL Natus Vincere 45¢ $0 7h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Natus Vincere 45¢ $1 8h
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 62¢ $1 8h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner BUY TheMongolz 60¢ $1 8h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Team WE 15¢ $1 8h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Team WE 17¢ $1 8h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner BUY TheMongolz 41¢ $1 8h
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5) BUY TheMongolz 60¢ $1 9h
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5) BUY TheMongolz 60¢ $1 9h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-13.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 72 +21.8% +10.2% 61% 58% +11.3%
≤30d 90 +13.2% +2.4% 59% 56% -2.3%
≤90d 668 -4.1% -13.2% 50% 46% -14.8%
all 668 -4.1% -13.2% 50% 46% -14.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover23.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.2% 46% -14.8%
10% ← realistic here -21.5% 43% -22.9%
15% -29.1% 38% -30.4%
20% -36.0% 34% -37.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $9.72 · official $9.69 (match) · 2383 history records