Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T09:02:03+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C8
0xc823…c1b9
crypto · 677 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$4,109 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$4,109 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$4,109
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses447 / 348
Whale WR (big bets)60%
Est. fees paid−$4
Open positions0
Markets (closed)795 / 677
History coverage20d
Avg bet$109
Trades / day147.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 795 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5,095
7 days−$5,680
14 days−$3,826
30 days−$4,109
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $55 $0 −$55 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $98 $0 −$98 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $104 $0 −$104 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $72 $0 −$72 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $97 $0 −$97 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $165 $0 −$165 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Down 93¢ 0¢ $46 $0 −$46 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $54 $0 −$54 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $60 −$60 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $72 −$72 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $60 −$60 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $264 −$264 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $125 −$125 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $194 −$194 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $380 −$380 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $95 −$95 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $76 −$76 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $45 −$45 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 13 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $245 −$245 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $44 −$44 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $206 −$206 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% +$1,308
other 1% +$10
sports 1% +$14
world 0% +$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $10 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET SELL Down 24¢ $11 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $26 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $8 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $8 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $7 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $22 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $46 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $18 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $18 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $4 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $20 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $19 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $60 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $3 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $4 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $25 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $41 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $27 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $26 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $19 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $7 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $18 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $50 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $98 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $2 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $9 54m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-20.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 351 -26.6% -33.6% 49% 26% -31.6%
≤30d 795 -11.9% -20.3% 56% 35% -14.4%
≤90d 795 -11.9% -20.3% 56% 35% -14.4%
all 795 -11.9% -20.3% 56% 35% -14.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover147.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -20.3% 35% -14.4%
10% ← realistic here -27.9% 26% -22.6%
15% -34.9% 19% -30.1%
20% -41.3% 14% -36.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records