trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | -100.0% | -100.0% | 0% | 0% | -100.0% |
| ≤30d | 6 | -100.0% | -100.0% | 0% | 0% | -100.0% |
| ≤90d | 12 | -2.4% | -11.7% | 8% | 8% | +59.4% |
| all | 12 | -2.4% | -11.7% | 8% | 8% | +59.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -11.7% | 8% | +59.4% |
| 10% | -20.2% | 8% | +44.2% |
| 15% | -27.9% | 8% | +30.2% |
| 20% | -35.0% | 8% | +17.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | Yes | 4¢ | 1¢ | $1,806 | $685 | −$1,121 (-62%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-26? | Jun 26 | $494 | −$462 | -94% |
| Will Norway vs. France end in a draw? | Jun 26 | $428 | −$401 | -94% |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T? | Jun 10 | $501 | −$468 | -93% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee | Jun 10 | $268 | −$254 | -95% |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T? | Jun 09 | $182 | −$175 | -96% |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T? | Jun 09 | $177 | −$170 | -96% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee | May 23 | $241 | −$230 | -95% |
| Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026? | May 16 | $575 | +$6,162 | +1071% |
| Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026? | May 16 | $6 | −$6 | -95% |
| Will Greece win Eurovision 2026? | May 16 | $344 | −$328 | -96% |
| Will Finland win Eurovision 2026? | May 16 | $562 | −$549 | -98% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 mee | Apr 29 | $215 | −$205 | -95% |