Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:52:30+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C8
0xc81a…b264
crypto · 1292 markets active 0h ago
0.5score
+$30 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$37 · open −$7
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$48
Realized+$37
Unrealized−$7
Win rate (resolved)80%
Wins / losses1036 / 252
Open positions4
Markets (closed)1288 / 1292
History coverage17d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day87.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit82%
Chart Positions 4 History 1288 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$63
7 days+$121
14 days+$42
30 days+$37
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Up 67¢ 64¢ $14 $13 −$1 (-5%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Up 69¢ 64¢ $14 $13 −$1 (-8%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Up 74¢ 62¢ $14 $12 −$2 (-17%)
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Up 83¢ 64¢ $13 $10 −$3 (-22%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Down 88¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Down 77¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 4, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Up 90¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Down 89¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Down 76¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 4, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Up 89¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 4, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Up 87¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $13 +$4 +31%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $13 +$7 +50%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$5 +41%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +10%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$1 +9%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$1 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $13 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $13 +$5 +36%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$2 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $13 +$4 +28%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$2 +19%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$2 +19%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$2 +13%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$2 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$4 +34%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$5 +36%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$5 +48%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$3 +26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$3 +22%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$6 +55%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$4 +36%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$4 +33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -98%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$5 +44%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$5 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$4 +34%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$4 +34%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -99%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$5 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$4 +31%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$4 +36%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$4 +31%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$4 +42%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +30%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$2 +20%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$2 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$2 +18%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +19%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +29%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +13%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$3 +29%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$3 +27%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +32%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 84% +$107
other 16% −$76
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $13 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $14 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $14 0m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $14 0m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $13 5m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $13 5m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $12 5m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $12 10m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $11 10m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $12 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $13 15m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $13 15m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $13 15m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $11 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $12 20m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $12 20m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $12 20m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $12 20m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $2 24m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $14 25m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 25m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $11 30m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $12 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $11 30m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $12 30m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $11 34m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $11 35m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $13 40m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $12 40m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $11 45m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +65%
net ROI/market (all)-9.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 883 +2.2% -7.5% 79% 72% -7.6%
≤30d 1288 +0.5% -9.1% 80% 65% -9.1%
≤90d 1288 +0.5% -9.1% 80% 65% -9.1%
all 1288 +0.5% -9.1% 80% 65% -9.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover87.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.1% 65% -9.1%
10% ← realistic here -17.8% 40% -17.8%
15% -25.7% 16% -25.7%
20% -33.0% 4% -33.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $47.99 · official $44.15 · 2396 history records