Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T18:39:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
C7 0xc7f9…b163 crypto 1184 markets active 5d ago coverage 18d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 17d only
✗ bot/MM pace (137 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$204 (-1%) realized −$204 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR63%break-even
Win rate64%755W / 429L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$18per market
Trades / day136.9pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$50
14 days−$57
30 days−$52
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$52
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (137 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +63%
net ROI/market (all)-11.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 238 -4.4% -13.5% 32% 32% -13.3%
≤30d 1184 -1.8% -11.2% 64% 63% -9.8%
≤90d 1184 -1.8% -11.2% 64% 63% -9.8%
all 1184 -1.8% -11.2% 64% 63% -9.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover136.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.2% 63% -9.8%
10% ← realistic here -19.7% 42% -18.4%
15% -27.4% 18% -26.3%
20% -34.5% 10% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 2% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
1% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -2% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -1% → late -2% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$6 vs −$10 · ×0.56 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.99 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

18d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$204
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)64%
Wins / losses755 / 429
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1184 / 1184
History coverage18d ⚠
Avg bet$18
Trades / day136.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1184 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$3 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$3 -65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$4 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +61%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET SELL Down 44¢ $4 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET SELL Down 45¢ $4 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET SELL Down 45¢ $4 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $8 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $4 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $8 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET SELL Up 43¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET SELL Down 42¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET SELL Down 45¢ $4 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET SELL Up 38¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $8 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $4 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET SELL Down 40¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET SELL Down 40¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET SELL Up 38¢ $3 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records