Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T04:57:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C7
0xc7eb…6f38
other · 6 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$3 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$0 · open −$9
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY ⚠ Small sample
Net worth$6
Realized+$0
Unrealized−$9
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses3 / 2
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)5 / 6
History coverage2d
Avg bet$13
Trades / day7.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit33%
Chart Positions 1 History 5 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$0
7 days−$0
14 days−$0
30 days−$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 57¢ 22¢ $15 $6 −$9 (-61%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 52¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) Scotland 40¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $15 +$9 +57%
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) Jun 14 $2 −$2 -98%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $20 −$20 -99%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $5 +$8 +152%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $5 +$5 +105%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 91% −$15
sports 9% +$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 100¢ $24 1h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 57¢ $15 1h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 56¢ $15 1h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 57¢ $10 1h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 57¢ $5 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 63¢ $10 4h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 63¢ $5 4h
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) BUY Scotland 40¢ $2 4h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 39¢ $5 5h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 58¢ $10 20h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 58¢ $5 21h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 39¢ $5 21h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 48¢ $5 43h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +60%
net ROI/market (all)+11.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 5 +22.7% +11.1% 60% 60% -10.1%
≤30d 5 +22.7% +11.1% 60% 60% -10.1%
≤90d 5 +22.7% +11.1% 60% 60% -10.1%
all 5 +22.7% +11.1% 60% 60% -10.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.3 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +11.1% 60% -10.1%
10% +0.4% 60% -18.7%
15% -9.3% 60% -26.6%
20% -18.2% 60% -33.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5.92 · official $5.92 (match) · 15 history records