trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | Yes | 57¢ | 22¢ | $15 | $6 | −$9 (-61%) |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Yes | 52¢ | 0¢ | $20 | $0 | −$20 (-100%) |
| Spread: Scotland (-1.5) | Scotland | 40¢ | 0¢ | $2 | $0 | −$2 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $15 | +$9 | +57% |
| Spread: Scotland (-1.5) | Jun 14 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $20 | −$20 | -99% |
| Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 | Jun 13 | $5 | +$8 | +152% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $5 | +$5 | +105% |
| Market | side | price | size | when |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | SELL Yes | 100¢ | $24 | 1h |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | BUY Yes | 57¢ | $15 | 1h |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | SELL Yes | 56¢ | $15 | 1h |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | BUY Yes | 57¢ | $10 | 1h |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | BUY Yes | 57¢ | $5 | 1h |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | BUY Yes | 63¢ | $10 | 4h |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | BUY Yes | 63¢ | $5 | 4h |
| Spread: Scotland (-1.5) | BUY Scotland | 40¢ | $2 | 4h |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | BUY Yes | 39¢ | $5 | 5h |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | BUY Yes | 58¢ | $10 | 20h |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | BUY Yes | 58¢ | $5 | 21h |
| Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 | BUY Under | 39¢ | $5 | 21h |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | BUY Yes | 48¢ | $5 | 43h |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | +22.7% | +11.1% | 60% | 60% | -10.1% |
| ≤30d | 5 | +22.7% | +11.1% | 60% | 60% | -10.1% |
| ≤90d | 5 | +22.7% | +11.1% | 60% | 60% | -10.1% |
| all | 5 | +22.7% | +11.1% | 60% | 60% | -10.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +11.1% | 60% | -10.1% |
| 10% | +0.4% | 60% | -18.7% |
| 15% | -9.3% | 60% | -26.6% |
| 20% | -18.2% | 60% | -33.8% |