Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T16:03:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C7
0xc7e5…9256
sports · 76 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$496 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$486 · open −$10
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$30
Realized−$486
Unrealized−$10
Win rate (resolved)72%
Wins / losses52 / 20
Whale WR (big bets)67%
Est. fees paid−$305
Open positions4
Markets (closed)72 / 76
History coverage18d
Avg bet$153
Trades / day95.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit92%
Chart Positions 4 History 72 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$541
7 days−$609
14 days−$484
30 days−$486
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 17? Yes 55¢ 66¢ $10 $12 +$2 (+20%)
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No 48¢ 47¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-2%)
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? No 74¢ 40¢ $10 $5 −$5 (-45%)
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31? No 43¢ 14¢ $10 $3 −$7 (-68%)
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublev Andrey Rublev $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Perugia: Henrique Rocha vs Dusan Lajovic Jun 13 $50 +$72 +145%
Libema Open: Martin Damm vs Alex de Minaur Jun 13 $135 −$14 -10%
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreeva Jun 13 $71 −$41 -58%
Heilbronn: Guy Den Ouden vs Emilio Nava Jun 13 $521 +$68 +13%
Roland Garros ATP: Quentin Halys vs Alexander Zverev Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobolli Jun 13 $283 −$250 -88%
HSBC Championships: Victoria Mboko vs Karolina Pliskova Jun 13 $182 +$16 +9%
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev Jun 13 $287 −$114 -40%
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca Jun 13 $1,066 −$357 -34%
Prostejov: Sebastian Baez vs Maxim Mrva Jun 13 $272 −$135 -50%
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler Jun 13 $654 +$2 +0%
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan Jun 13 $111 +$8 +7%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: James Duckworth vs Aleksandar Vukic Jun 13 $10 −$8 -76%
Stuttgart Open: Alexander Bublik vs Taylor Fritz Jun 13 $861 +$20 +2%
Halle Open, Qualification: Jamie Mackenzie vs Alex Bolt Jun 13 $30 +$2 +7%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro Jun 13 $456 +$42 +9%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Jun 13 $5 $0 -1%
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? Jun 13 $10 +$1 +13%
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Jun 12 $20 $0 +1%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? Jun 12 $10 +$1 +14%
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 12 $200 +$17 +8%
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur Jun 12 $100 +$10 +10%
Tucuman: Federico Coria vs Andrea Collarini Jun 11 $788 +$125 +16%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 11 $50 +$7 +14%
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Jun 11 $36 +$2 +5%
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres Jun 10 $304 −$142 -47%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $440 +$24 +5%
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $30 +$17 +57%
Will Nigeria win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $196 −$6 -3%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 10 $516 −$38 -7%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group Jun 10 $35 +$8 +21%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 10 $25 +$27 +105%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 10 $25 +$21 +82%
Tucuman: Juan Estevez vs Matias Soto Jun 09 $231 −$63 -27%
Stuttgart Open: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs James Duckworth Jun 09 $25 +$2 +10%
Libema Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Botic van de Zandschulp Jun 09 $136 +$32 +23%
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Jun 07 $75 +$50 +66%
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves Jun 05 $312 +$50 +16%
Counter-Strike: RED Canids Academy vs paiN Academy (BO3) - Gamers Club Jun 04 $65 +$4 +6%
San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies Jun 04 $30 −$4 -12%
Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinska Jun 04 $36 +$23 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 04 $2 $0 +6%
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca Jun 02 $303 +$13 +4%
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublev May 31 $132 +$13 +10%
New York Yankees vs. Athletics May 31 $70 +$15 +22%
Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds May 31 $40 +$11 +27%
Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds May 29 $10 +$1 +6%
Little Rock: Enzo Aguiard vs Andre Ilagan May 29 $327 +$24 +7%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 93% −$503
other 6% +$14
world 1% −$6
crypto 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler SELL Marc-Andrea Huesler 60¢ $71 1h
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler SELL Marc-Andrea Huesler 66¢ $10 1h
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler SELL Marc-Andrea Huesler 66¢ $4 1h
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler SELL Marc-Andrea Huesler 66¢ $6 1h
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler SELL Marc-Andrea Huesler 65¢ $46 1h
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler SELL Marc-Andrea Huesler 65¢ $4 1h
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler BUY Marc-Andrea Huesler 44¢ $30 1h
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler BUY Marc-Andrea Huesler 44¢ $4 1h
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler BUY Marc-Andrea Huesler 44¢ $4 1h
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler BUY Marc-Andrea Huesler 44¢ $64 1h
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler SELL Marc-Andrea Huesler 38¢ $136 1h
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler SELL Marc-Andrea Huesler 43¢ $10 1h
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler SELL Marc-Andrea Huesler 43¢ $8 1h
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler SELL Marc-Andrea Huesler 43¢ $2 1h
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler SELL Marc-Andrea Huesler 42¢ $10 1h
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler SELL Marc-Andrea Huesler 42¢ $10 1h
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler SELL Marc-Andrea Huesler 41¢ $8 1h
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler SELL Marc-Andrea Huesler 41¢ $2 1h
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler BUY Marc-Andrea Huesler 39¢ $25 1h
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler BUY Marc-Andrea Huesler 39¢ $2 1h
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler BUY Marc-Andrea Huesler 39¢ $40 1h
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler BUY Marc-Andrea Huesler 39¢ $5 1h
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler BUY Marc-Andrea Huesler 39¢ $19 1h
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler BUY Marc-Andrea Huesler 39¢ $7 1h
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler BUY Marc-Andrea Huesler 43¢ $102 1h
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler SELL Martin Landaluce 62¢ $164 1h
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler SELL Martin Landaluce 71¢ $10 1h
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler SELL Martin Landaluce 70¢ $10 1h
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler BUY Martin Landaluce 68¢ $101 1h
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler BUY Martin Landaluce 66¢ $101 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-1.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 39 +2.7% -7.1% 67% 31% -16.2%
≤30d 72 +8.8% -1.5% 72% 38% -13.4%
≤90d 72 +8.8% -1.5% 72% 38% -13.4%
all 72 +8.8% -1.5% 72% 38% -13.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover95.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -1.5% 38% -13.4%
10% ← realistic here -11.0% 19% -21.6%
15% -19.6% 15% -29.2%
20% -27.4% 15% -36.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $30.44 · official $30.44 (match) · 1757 history records