Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T06:04:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C7
0xc7d7…ca4e
other · 16 markets active 1h ago
4.5score
+$208 +6%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$212 · open −$20
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2,470
Realized+$212
Unrealized−$20
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses1 / 0
Est. fees paid−$5
Open positions15
Markets (closed)1 / 16
History coverage2d
Avg bet$213
Trades / day7.2
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit6%
Chart Positions 15 History 1 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$212
7 days+$212
14 days+$212
30 days+$212
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? Yes 90¢ 88¢ $500 $492 −$8 (-2%)
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? Yes 91¢ 90¢ $300 $298 −$2 (-1%)
Will Spain win on 2026-06-21? Yes 90¢ 90¢ $200 $199 −$1 (-1%)
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20? Yes 82¢ 81¢ $200 $199 −$1 (-1%)
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? Yes 73¢ 72¢ $200 $199 −$1 (-1%)
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? Yes 69¢ 68¢ $200 $199 −$1 (-1%)
Will France win on 2026-06-22? Yes 89¢ 88¢ $200 $198 −$2 (-1%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18? Yes 61¢ 62¢ $100 $101 +$1 (+1%)
Will Norway win on 2026-06-16? Yes 82¢ 82¢ $100 $101 +$1 (+1%)
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? Yes 76¢ 76¢ $100 $99 −$1 (-1%)
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? Yes 71¢ 70¢ $100 $99 −$1 (-1%)
Will France win on 2026-06-16? Yes 67¢ 66¢ $100 $99 −$1 (-1%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-19? Yes 63¢ 62¢ $100 $98 −$2 (-2%)
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? Yes 93¢ 94¢ $80 $81 +$1 (+1%)
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? Yes 70¢ 70¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 14 $905 +$212 +23%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 73% −$20
sports 27% +$212
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will France win on 2026-06-22? BUY Yes 89¢ $201 1h
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? BUY Yes 69¢ $202 1h
Will Spain win on 2026-06-21? BUY Yes 90¢ $201 1h
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20? BUY Yes 82¢ $201 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-19? BUY Yes 63¢ $101 1h
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? BUY Yes 76¢ $101 1h
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? BUY Yes 73¢ $202 1h
Will France win on 2026-06-16? BUY Yes 67¢ $101 1h
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? SELL Yes 100¢ $1,117 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? BUY Yes 90¢ $501 2d
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18? BUY Yes 61¢ $101 2d
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? BUY Yes 71¢ $101 2d
Will Norway win on 2026-06-16? BUY Yes 82¢ $101 2d
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? BUY Yes 91¢ $301 2d
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? BUY Yes 70¢ $10 2d
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 93¢ $80 2d
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY Yes 80¢ $201 2d
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY Yes 80¢ $704 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +100%
net ROI/market (all)+11.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 +23.4% +11.6% 100% 100% +11.6%
≤30d 1 +23.4% +11.6% 100% 100% +11.6%
≤90d 1 +23.4% +11.6% 100% 100% +11.6%
all 1 +23.4% +11.6% 100% 100% +11.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.2 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +11.6% 100% +11.6%
10% +0.9% 100% +0.9%
15% -8.8% 0% -8.8%
20% -17.8% 0% -17.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2,470.25 · official $2,470.27 (match) · 18 history records