Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T22:31:35+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
C7 0xc7d4…c750 crypto 72 markets active 5d ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (180 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL +$300 (+8%) realized +$300 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -8% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -29% what you keep after slip
Net edge-29%after slip
Net WR31%break-even
Win rate33%24W / 48L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$51per market
Trades / day180.2pace
Fees−$6est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 95% −$383
sports 5% −$76
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (180 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-16.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 72 -7.6% -16.4% 33% 31% -24.1%
≤30d 72 -7.6% -16.4% 33% 31% -24.1%
≤90d 72 -7.6% -16.4% 33% 31% -24.1%
all 72 -7.6% -16.4% 33% 31% -24.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover180.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.4% 31% -24.1%
10% ← realistic here -24.4% 29% -31.4%
15% -31.7% 25% -38.0%
20% -38.4% 24% -44.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 18% · top 2 36% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -16% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
8% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -8% · $-wt -16% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +22% → late -37% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
2.5 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$44 vs −$32 · ×1.39 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×0.7 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$300
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)33%
Wins / losses24 / 48
Est. fees paid−$6
Open positions0
Markets (closed)72 / 72
History coverage1d
Avg bet$51
Trades / day180.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 72 Trades
no open positions (39 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 13 $188 +$98 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $54 −$54 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $55 −$55 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $105 −$105 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $110 +$8 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $105 −$105 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $78 −$78 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 13 $94 −$94 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 13 $183 +$6 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $50 −$48 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $86 −$82 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $32 −$30 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $88 −$5 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $71 −$2 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $55 +$13 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $61 −$58 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 13 $48 −$46 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 13 $47 −$23 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $68 −$66 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$20 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$46 +219%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $19 −$18 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $24 −$23 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $24 +$13 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $18 −$17 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $53 +$40 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $57 −$30 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $16 +$12 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $31 −$5 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $76 +$27 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $52 −$25 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $31 −$30 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $16 +$8 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $36 −$35 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$4 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$2 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $26 +$45 +171%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $26 +$9 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$10 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $37 +$25 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $56 +$18 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $30 −$4 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$10 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $41 +$41 +102%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $50 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $86 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 3¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET SELL Down 88¢ $173 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $83 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET SELL Up 53¢ $12 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET SELL Down 77¢ $14 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET SELL Down 67¢ $82 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $45 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET SELL Up 71¢ $29 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $4 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $4 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $4 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $4 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET SELL Down 36¢ $34 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $38 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $61 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $24 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 247 history records