Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:56:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C7
0xc7d2…bac2
crypto · 1818 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$356 +13%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$356 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$40
Realized+$356
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)65%
Wins / losses914 / 483
Open positions2
Markets (closed)1397 / 1818
History coverage20d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day126.5
Drawdown62%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 1397 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$413
7 days−$66
14 days+$55
30 days+$356
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Down 55¢ 100¢ $3 $5 +$2 (+80%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Down 57¢ 100¢ $3 $5 +$2 (+76%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Down 58¢ 100¢ $3 $5 +$2 (+72%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Down 65¢ 100¢ $3 $5 +$2 (+53%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Down 56¢ 56¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Down 53¢ 100¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+89%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Down 58¢ 100¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+72%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Up 62¢ 100¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+61%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Down 65¢ 100¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+54%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down 66¢ 100¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+52%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Down 70¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+43%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Down 71¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+41%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Down 71¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+41%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Down 71¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+41%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Down 72¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+39%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Down 72¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+39%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Down 69¢ 50¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-28%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 21, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 1, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 17, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 22, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 21, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 1, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 17, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 22, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 16, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 19, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 21, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 22, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 18, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 21, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 16, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 1, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 19, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$948
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $1 0m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 0m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 2m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 34m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $1 35m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $1 40m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 42m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $1 43m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $1 57m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $1 59m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $1 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $1 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $1 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +65%
net ROI/market (all)+11.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 909 +2.3% -7.5% 56% 56% -14.5%
≤30d 1397 +23.5% +11.7% 65% 65% +4.1%
≤90d 1397 +23.5% +11.7% 65% 65% +4.1%
all 1397 +23.5% +11.7% 65% 65% +4.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover126.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +11.7% 65% +4.1%
10% ← realistic here +1.0% 64% -5.9%
15% -8.8% 56% -15.0%
20% -17.7% 40% -23.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $39.82 · official $38.87 (match) · 3500 history records