Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:22:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C7
0xc7d2…e4de
crypto · 257 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$2,144 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,143 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$3
Realized−$2,143
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses135 / 121
Whale WR (big bets)80%
Open positions1
Markets (closed)256 / 257
Avg bet$131
Trades / day16.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 256 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$276
7 days−$442
14 days−$442
30 days−$1,270
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Down 63¢ 44¢ $4 $3 −$1 (-29%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 91¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $67 $0 −$67 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $488 $0 −$488 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Up 81¢ 0¢ $192 $0 −$192 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $1,761 $0 −$1,761 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $103 $0 −$103 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $118 $0 −$118 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $78 $0 −$78 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $47 $0 −$47 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $46 $0 −$46 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$1 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$9 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $87 −$21 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $28 −$2 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $368 −$185 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $117 +$87 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $200 +$23 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $92 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $232 +$25 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $256 +$27 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $115 +$5 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $109 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $57 +$9 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $74 +$4 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $57 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $73 −$21 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $72 +$8 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $110 +$9 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $187 −$137 -74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $204 −$25 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $380 +$45 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $51 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $470 −$1 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $235 −$100 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $433 +$29 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $161 +$48 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $163 −$2 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $135 −$115 -85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $72 +$45 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $117 +$15 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $77 −$10 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $58 +$4 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $95 +$18 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $123 −$50 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $141 +$4 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $40 −$13 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $79 +$5 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 08 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 08 $118 −$114 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 08 $159 +$48 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 08 $151 −$5 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 08 $49 +$19 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 08 $40 +$8 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 08 $19 −$6 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 08 $134 −$130 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 08 $143 +$5 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$2,144
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $4 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $2 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET SELL Down 56¢ $3 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $4 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $4 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $4 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET SELL Down 93¢ $4 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $1 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $3 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET SELL Down 84¢ $4 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $3 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $3 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $3 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET SELL Down 15¢ $3 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $12 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $12 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $10 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $31 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET SELL Up 70¢ $31 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $32 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET SELL Up 77¢ $32 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $25 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $25 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $3 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET SELL Up 12¢ $1 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $20 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $203 34m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-18.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 100 -14.9% -23.0% 52% 28% -15.3%
≤30d 145 -17.4% -25.3% 51% 30% -20.0%
≤90d 256 -9.7% -18.3% 53% 37% -15.6%
all 256 -9.7% -18.3% 53% 37% -15.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover16.5 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -18.3% 37% -15.6%
10% -26.1% 25% -23.7%
15% -33.2% 17% -31.0%
20% -39.8% 10% -37.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.83 · official $3.02 (match) · 966 history records