Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:08:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C7
0xc7d0…1f8a
sports · 558 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$17,769 +23%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$997 · open +$12,242
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$141,498
Realized+$997
Unrealized+$12,242
Win rate (resolved)63%
Wins / losses102 / 59
Whale WR (big bets)40%
Est. fees paid−$216
Open positions480
Markets (closed)161 / 558
History coverage1d
Avg bet$137
Trades / day3262.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit84%
Chart Positions 480 History 161 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$997
7 days+$997
14 days+$997
30 days+$997
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? No 83¢ 88¢ $2,883 $3,069 +$186 (+6%)
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? No 53¢ 100¢ $1,250 $2,347 +$1,098 (+88%)
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30? No 86¢ 96¢ $1,859 $2,080 +$221 (+12%)
Israel closes its airspace by June 12? No 93¢ 99¢ $1,961 $2,078 +$117 (+6%)
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No 42¢ 80¢ $979 $1,898 +$919 (+94%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June? No 94¢ 93¢ $1,791 $1,774 −$18 (-1%)
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30? No 95¢ 97¢ $1,544 $1,586 +$42 (+3%)
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes 72¢ 75¢ $1,484 $1,549 +$64 (+4%)
Will Michael Olise be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 94¢ 94¢ $1,493 $1,497 +$3 (+0%)
Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election? No 93¢ 100¢ $1,362 $1,461 +$100 (+7%)
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30? No 95¢ 98¢ $1,405 $1,447 +$43 (+3%)
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No 92¢ 91¢ $1,408 $1,395 −$13 (-1%)
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 15? No 93¢ 99¢ $1,288 $1,363 +$76 (+6%)
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? No 96¢ 97¢ $1,322 $1,335 +$13 (+1%)
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? No 94¢ 96¢ $1,275 $1,312 +$36 (+3%)
Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election? Yes 96¢ 99¢ $1,248 $1,282 +$34 (+3%)
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30? Yes 16¢ 100¢ $186 $1,158 +$972 (+523%)
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? No 93¢ 100¢ $1,079 $1,156 +$78 (+7%)
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027? Yes 94¢ 98¢ $1,101 $1,144 +$43 (+4%)
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? No 51¢ 79¢ $729 $1,137 +$407 (+56%)
Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election? Yes 94¢ 99¢ $1,073 $1,134 +$61 (+6%)
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? No 92¢ 94¢ $1,104 $1,121 +$17 (+2%)
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $200 and $250? No 81¢ 94¢ $957 $1,120 +$163 (+17%)
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? No 95¢ 95¢ $1,097 $1,101 +$4 (+0%)
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No 51¢ 72¢ $769 $1,098 +$329 (+43%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs EYEBALLERS (BO1) - XSE Pro League Grou Jun 12 $69 +$6 +9%
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans Jun 12 $57 −$21 -38%
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Jun 12 $52 +$23 +44%
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $13 +$12 +92%
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $31 +$5 +16%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $18 −$16 -86%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $48 −$20 -42%
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch Jun 12 $96 −$27 -28%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $100 −$40 -40%
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik Jun 12 $24 +$21 +86%
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group Jun 12 $14 −$6 -45%
Will White House post 160-179 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $16 +$3 +18%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $16 −$12 -76%
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $96 +$9 +9%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 12? Jun 12 $88 +$49 +56%
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on June 12? Jun 12 $37 +$1 +3%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $146 +$35 +24%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 12? Jun 12 $31 −$20 -65%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 12? Jun 12 $103 −$54 -52%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on June 12? Jun 12 $337 +$413 +123%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 12? Jun 12 $2 +$13 +649%
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 12? Jun 12 $2 +$9 +577%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $84 −$13 -15%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $57 +$45 +79%
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova Jun 12 $82 +$12 +15%
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Kiwoom Heroes Jun 12 $10 +$9 +92%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $97 −$10 -10%
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina Jun 12 $68 −$25 -37%
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur Jun 12 $19 +$6 +32%
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz Jun 12 $21 +$4 +22%
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal Jun 12 $104 +$62 +60%
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette Jun 12 $3 +$2 +47%
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Jun 12 $86 −$53 -62%
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5) Jun 12 $30 +$25 +81%
Games Total: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $11 +$14 +122%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $133 −$28 -21%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $114 +$54 +48%
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $18 −$6 -31%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $128 +$28 +22%
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 12 $31 −$26 -84%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $11 +$4 +33%
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? Jun 12 $19 −$19 -99%
Bratislava: Petr Brunclik vs Vitaliy Sachko Jun 12 $3 +$2 +54%
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30? Jun 12 $116 +$359 +309%
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be betwe Jun 12 $48 −$28 -59%
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Jun 12 $84 +$40 +48%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -85%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $9 +$16 +178%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $550 +$24 +4%
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5) Jun 12 $18 +$25 +144%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 57% +$9,885
world 19% −$23
sports 8% +$1,385
finance 6% +$377
weather 3% +$1,019
politics 3% −$247
tech 3% +$787
economics 0% +$1
culture 0% $0
crypto 0% +$49
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans BUY Kimmer Coppejans 6¢ $2 0m
Dota 2: Level UP vs 4ikibamboni (BO3) - The International Europe Open BUY Level UP 20¢ $6 1m
Will Australia win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 9¢ $9 1m
Dota 2: Level UP vs 4ikibamboni (BO3) - The International Europe Open BUY Level UP 46¢ $69 1m
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 12? BUY No 46¢ $30 1m
Dota 2: Level UP vs 4ikibamboni (BO3) - The International Europe Open SELL 4ikibamboni 29¢ $7 1m
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans SELL Kimmer Coppejans 22¢ $3 2m
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports - Game 1 Winner SELL G2 NORD 98¢ $36 2m
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 31¢ $11 3m
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 31¢ $8 3m
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Amanda Anisimova 47¢ $12 3m
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? BUY Yes 94¢ $187 3m
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports - Game 1 Winner BUY G2 NORD 75¢ $18 3m
Ilkley: Harmony Tan vs Lanlana Tararudee BUY Lanlana Tararudee 22¢ $3 4m
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans BUY Kimmer Coppejans 22¢ $3 4m
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans BUY Kimmer Coppejans 22¢ $1 4m
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans BUY Kimmer Coppejans 22¢ $5 4m
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL No 88¢ $35 4m
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans BUY Kimmer Coppejans 22¢ $0 4m
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? SELL No 81¢ $32 5m
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - The International Europe BUY Inner Circle 72¢ $72 5m
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - The International Europe BUY Inner Circle 72¢ $72 5m
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on June 12? BUY No 6¢ $1 5m
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports - Game 1 Winner BUY G2 NORD 83¢ $13 5m
Cattolica: Raul Brancaccio vs Roberto Carballes Baena BUY Raul Brancaccio 21¢ $1 5m
Will SpaceX’s “High” share price on its first day of trading hit 200 ( BUY Yes 9¢ $14 5m
Cattolica: Raul Brancaccio vs Roberto Carballes Baena BUY Raul Brancaccio 21¢ $1 5m
Cattolica: Raul Brancaccio vs Roberto Carballes Baena BUY Raul Brancaccio 21¢ $5 5m
Cattolica: Raul Brancaccio vs Roberto Carballes Baena BUY Raul Brancaccio 21¢ $5 5m
Cattolica: Raul Brancaccio vs Roberto Carballes Baena BUY Raul Brancaccio 21¢ $5 5m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +54%
net ROI/market (all)+51.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 161 +67.3% +51.3% 63% 54% -3.5%
≤30d 161 +67.3% +51.3% 63% 54% -3.5%
≤90d 161 +67.3% +51.3% 63% 54% -3.5%
all 161 +67.3% +51.3% 63% 54% -3.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3262.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +51.3% 54% -3.5%
10% ← realistic here +36.9% 43% -12.7%
15% +23.6% 39% -21.2%
20% +11.5% 32% -28.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $141,498.17 · official $146,920.06 · 3500 history records