Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T09:15:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C7
0xc7ce…f2f2
crypto · 141 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$27 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$27 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized−$27
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)70%
Wins / losses99 / 42
Open positions0
Markets (closed)141 / 141
Avg bet$4
Trades / day5.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 141 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$13
7 days+$13
14 days+$13
30 days−$27
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Down 89¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Up 81¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 83¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET May 27 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET May 27 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET May 26 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET May 26 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET May 26 $1 $0 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET May 26 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET May 26 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET May 26 $4 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET May 26 $4 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET May 26 $4 +$1 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET May 26 $8 −$8 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET May 26 $8 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET May 26 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET May 26 $8 +$1 +13%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$27
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $4 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $4 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $3 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $4 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $4 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $3 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +61%
net ROI/market (all)-15.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 36 +8.9% -1.5% 86% 78% -1.9%
≤30d 137 -7.3% -16.1% 70% 61% -13.6%
≤90d 141 -7.0% -15.9% 70% 61% -13.4%
all 141 -7.0% -15.9% 70% 61% -13.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover5.9 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -15.9% 61% -13.4%
10% -23.9% 38% -21.7%
15% -31.3% 18% -29.3%
20% -38.0% 9% -36.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 300 history records