Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T15:57:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C7
0xc7c7…3b08
sports · 576 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$1,920 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,927 · open +$7
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$119
Realized−$1,927
Unrealized+$7
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses296 / 277
Est. fees paid−$609
Open positions3
Markets (closed)573 / 576
History coverage43d
Avg bet$71
Trades / day30.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 3 History 573 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$311
7 days−$433
14 days−$676
30 days−$1,235
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Petra Marcinko vs Aoi Ito Petra Marcinko 64¢ 74¢ $53 $61 +$8 (+15%)
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Lulu Sun vs Anhelina Kalinina Anhelina Kalinina 62¢ 60¢ $30 $29 −$1 (-2%)
Tucuman: Guido Justo vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Guido Justo 62¢ 61¢ $29 $28 −$0 (-2%)
Foggia: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Tyra Caterina Grant Tyra Caterina Grant 56¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Jaime Faria Adolfo Vallejo 73¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
ITF Szentendre: Yannik Kelm vs Peter Fajta Peter Fajta 80¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
ITF Curtea de Arges: Anas Mazdrashki vs Sebastian Gima Sebastian Gima 60¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Rinderknech Arthur Rinderknech 56¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Little Rock: Enzo Aguiard vs Andre Ilagan Enzo Aguiard 32¢ $148 $0 −$148 (-100%)
ITF Nice: Clara Burel vs Deborah Chiesa Deborah Chiesa 70¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Perugia: Andrea Pellegrino vs Maks Kasnikowski Maks Kasnikowski 70¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
ITF Wuning: Yujia Huang vs Sara Saito Sara Saito 61¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Saint-Malo: Tereza Valentova vs Anna Blinkova Anna Blinkova 23¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Cervia: Manoj Dhamne Manas vs Mitchell Krueger Mitchell Krueger 56¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Istanbul: Maxim Mrva vs Jonas Forejtek Jonas Forejtek 72¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
ITF Klagenfurt: Noah Schlagenhauf vs Oleksii Krutykh Noah Schlagenhauf 55¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
ITF Gimcheon: Dong Ju Kim vs Matthew Dellavedova Dong Ju Kim 33¢ $90 $0 −$90 (-100%)
Bratislava: Petr Brunclik vs Vitaliy Sachko Petr Brunclik 49¢ $55 $0 −$55 (-100%)
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card) Tatsuro Taira 60¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Ostrava: Raul Brancaccio vs Zdenek Kolar Raul Brancaccio 49¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Heilbronn: Lorenzo Giustino vs Marko Topo Lorenzo Giustino 77¢ $102 $0 −$102 (-100%)
Makarska: Darja Semenistaja vs Maria Timofeeva Darja Semenistaja 47¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Tucuman: Eduardo Ribeiro vs Johan Alexander Rodriguez Eduardo Ribeiro 68¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Coco Gauff vs Anastasia Potapova Coco Gauff 70¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bengaluru 2: Alex Hernandez vs Yuta Kawahashi Alex Hernandez 70¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Caty McNally vs Mika Stojsavljevic Jun 13 $30 −$1 -5%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Harry Wendelken vs Adam Walton Jun 13 $39 −$35 -89%
ITF Merzig: Eva Bennemann vs Tamila Gadamauri Jun 13 $18 −$18 -99%
ITF Nice: Alina Granwehr vs Jenny Lim Jun 13 $50 −$21 -42%
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Toby Samuel Jun 13 $65 +$24 +38%
ITF Zagreb: Iva Primorac vs Elina Avanesyan Jun 13 $50 −$22 -44%
ITF kiseljak: Yaroslav Demin vs Andrey Chepelev Jun 13 $38 +$27 +70%
ITF Kayseri: Ivan Marrero Curbelo vs Dinko Dinev Jun 13 $50 +$21 +42%
ITF Casablanca: Nina Vargova vs Luna Vujovic Jun 13 $50 −$50 -99%
ITF Tokyo: Mayuka Aikawa vs Ikumi Yamazaki Jun 13 $35 +$28 +80%
ITF Wuning: Yujia Huang vs Sara Saito Jun 13 $51 −$50 -99%
ITF Tokyo: Hikaru Sato vs Kayo Nishimura Jun 13 $129 +$61 +47%
ITF Cuiaba: Antonia Rivera vs Maria Florencia Urrutia Jun 12 $19 −$16 -80%
ITF Cuiaba: Luiza Fullana vs Carolina Alves Jun 12 $30 −$1 -4%
ITF Los Angeles: Lily Taylor vs Kaitlyn Carnicella Jun 12 $50 −$21 -41%
Ilkley: Tristan Schoolkate vs Oliver Tarvet Jun 12 $51 −$51 -100%
Cattolica: Francesco Forti vs Andrea Guerrieri Jun 12 $136 −$133 -98%
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones Jun 12 $50 −$2 -3%
ITF Vaasa: Guillaume Dalmasso vs Tom Zeuch Jun 12 $81 −$46 -57%
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina Jun 12 $51 +$25 +50%
ITF Curtea de Arges: Anas Mazdrashki vs Sebastian Gima Jun 12 $51 −$50 -99%
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Marco Cecchinato Jun 12 $50 +$10 +20%
Bratislava: Petr Brunclik vs Vitaliy Sachko Jun 11 $56 −$55 -98%
Ilkley: Celine Naef vs Akasha Urhobo Jun 11 $34 −$2 -7%
ITF Wichita: William Manning vs Enzo Aguiard Jun 11 $34 +$7 +19%
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Jun 11 $30 −$2 -8%
ITF Martos: Carles Hernandez vs Joao Domingues Jun 11 $30 +$14 +48%
Tucuman: Santiago Rodriguez Taverna vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Jun 11 $117 +$48 +41%
ITF Nice: Clara Burel vs Deborah Chiesa Jun 11 $50 −$50 -99%
Tucuman: Eduardo Ribeiro vs Johan Alexander Rodriguez Jun 11 $30 −$30 -99%
Cattolica: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Carlos Sanchez Jover Jun 11 $49 +$18 +36%
Libema Open (Doubles): Balaji/Ram vs Bergs/Rinderknech Jun 11 $50 +$12 +24%
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Jun 11 $51 −$2 -5%
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs James Duckworth Jun 11 $44 +$24 +53%
ITF Messina: Gabriele Piraino vs Jacopo Bilardo Jun 11 $69 −$33 -48%
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Rinderknech Jun 11 $30 −$30 -99%
Bratislava: Zsombor Piros vs Joao Lucas Da Silva Jun 11 $50 +$23 +46%
Stuttgart Open: Rinky Hijikata vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 11 $50 +$20 +40%
Libema Open: Magda Linette vs Mia Pohankova Jun 11 $52 +$11 +22%
ITF Ceska Lipa: Sofya Lansere vs Francesca Curmi Jun 11 $51 +$25 +50%
Libema Open: Panna Udvardy vs Daria Snigur Jun 11 $53 −$53 -99%
ITF Los Angeles: Tanishk Konduri vs Maxwell Exsted Jun 11 $49 +$19 +38%
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal Jun 11 $36 −$35 -98%
ITF Wichita: Nicolas Arseneault vs Thanaphat Boosarawongse Jun 11 $50 −$50 -98%
ITF Wichita: Philip Sekulic vs Blake Ellis Jun 10 $57 −$13 -23%
ITF Ceska Lipa: Julia Avdeeva vs Alena Kovackova Jun 10 $51 −$50 -99%
ITF Cuiaba: Maria Herazo vs Camila Romero Jun 10 $142 +$9 +7%
Cattolica: Alexander Vasilev vs Andrea Guerrieri Jun 10 $39 +$16 +41%
ITF Vaasa: Jeri Lassila vs Linus Lagerbohm Jun 10 $50 +$18 +36%
ITF Ceska Lipa: Martha Matoula vs Anna Dvorackova Jun 10 $27 −$27 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$1,890
weather 0% −$30
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Tucuman: Guido Justo vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi BUY Guido Justo 62¢ $29 1h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Caty McNally vs Mika Stojsavljevic SELL Caty McNally 50¢ $29 1h
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Petra Marcinko vs Aoi Ito BUY Petra Marcinko 77¢ $4 2h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Harry Wendelken vs Adam Walton SELL Adam Walton $4 2h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Harry Wendelken vs Adam Walton BUY Adam Walton 68¢ $39 2h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Caty McNally vs Mika Stojsavljevic BUY Caty McNally 51¢ $30 3h
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Lulu Sun vs Anhelina Kalinin BUY Anhelina Kalinina 62¢ $30 3h
ITF Merzig: Eva Bennemann vs Tamila Gadamauri BUY Eva Bennemann 61¢ $18 3h
ITF Nice: Alina Granwehr vs Jenny Lim SELL Alina Granwehr 41¢ $29 3h
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Toby Samuel SELL Dane Sweeny 100¢ $89 3h
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Petra Marcinko vs Aoi Ito BUY Petra Marcinko 63¢ $50 3h
ITF Nice: Alina Granwehr vs Jenny Lim BUY Alina Granwehr 70¢ $50 4h
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Toby Samuel BUY Dane Sweeny 72¢ $65 4h
ITF Zagreb: Iva Primorac vs Elina Avanesyan SELL Elina Avanesyan 44¢ $28 4h
ITF Casablanca: Nina Vargova vs Luna Vujovic BUY Nina Vargova 67¢ $50 10h
ITF Tokyo: Mayuka Aikawa vs Ikumi Yamazaki SELL Ikumi Yamazaki 100¢ $62 11h
ITF kiseljak: Yaroslav Demin vs Andrey Chepelev BUY Andrey Chepelev 58¢ $38 11h
ITF Zagreb: Iva Primorac vs Elina Avanesyan BUY Elina Avanesyan 77¢ $50 11h
ITF Kayseri: Ivan Marrero Curbelo vs Dinko Dinev BUY Ivan Marrero Curbelo 70¢ $50 11h
ITF Wuning: Yujia Huang vs Sara Saito BUY Sara Saito 61¢ $51 11h
ITF Tokyo: Hikaru Sato vs Kayo Nishimura SELL Hikaru Sato 99¢ $190 12h
ITF Tokyo: Mayuka Aikawa vs Ikumi Yamazaki BUY Ikumi Yamazaki 54¢ $4 19h
ITF Cuiaba: Antonia Rivera vs Maria Florencia Urrutia SELL Maria Florencia Urrutia 10¢ $4 19h
ITF Tokyo: Hikaru Sato vs Kayo Nishimura BUY Hikaru Sato 67¢ $29 19h
ITF Cuiaba: Luiza Fullana vs Carolina Alves SELL Carolina Alves 66¢ $29 19h
ITF Tokyo: Hikaru Sato vs Kayo Nishimura BUY Hikaru Sato 67¢ $29 19h
ITF Los Angeles: Lily Taylor vs Kaitlyn Carnicella SELL Lily Taylor 41¢ $30 20h
ITF Tokyo: Hikaru Sato vs Kayo Nishimura BUY Hikaru Sato 66¢ $70 20h
ITF Tokyo: Mayuka Aikawa vs Ikumi Yamazaki BUY Ikumi Yamazaki 55¢ $30 20h
ITF Cuiaba: Antonia Rivera vs Maria Florencia Urrutia BUY Maria Florencia Urrutia 50¢ $19 20h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-14.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 98 -9.2% -17.9% 52% 48% -17.6%
≤30d 437 -5.4% -14.4% 52% 47% -13.0%
≤90d 573 -5.9% -14.9% 52% 47% -13.7%
all 573 -5.9% -14.9% 52% 47% -13.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover30.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.9% 47% -13.7%
10% ← realistic here -23.0% 39% -22.0%
15% -30.5% 26% -29.5%
20% -37.3% 15% -36.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $118.86 · official $118.86 (match) · 1363 history records