Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T06:37:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C7
0xc7c7…e6fe
other · 244 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$92 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$91 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$57
Realized−$91
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)5%
Wins / losses11 / 232
Whale WR (big bets)0%
Est. fees paid−$8
Open positions1
Markets (closed)243 / 244
History coverage129d
Avg bet$214
Trades / day10.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit60%
Chart Positions 1 History 243 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$4
7 days−$17
14 days−$23
30 days−$40
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series? No 99¢ 99¢ $57 $57 −$0 (-0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 12 $531 −$1 -0%
Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2026 World Series? Jun 12 $295 $0 -0%
Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 World Series? Jun 12 $272 −$1 -0%
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 11 $334 −$1 -0%
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 11 $168 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? Jun 11 $393 −$1 -0%
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 11 $604 −$2 -0%
Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 10 $206 $0 -0%
Will Charlotte FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 10 $295 −$1 -0%
Will the Houston Astros win the 2026 World Series? Jun 09 $471 −$1 -0%
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 09 $156 −$2 -1%
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 09 $200 −$1 -0%
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Jun 09 $482 −$1 -0%
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 09 $295 −$1 -0%
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 08 $424 −$1 -0%
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 08 $386 $0 -0%
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 08 $503 −$1 -0%
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 07 $249 −$1 -0%
Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 07 $640 −$1 -0%
Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 07 $225 −$2 -1%
Xi Jinping out by June 30? Jun 07 $311 $0 -0%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Jun 07 $305 $0 -0%
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 06 $61 $0 -0%
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026? Jun 06 $258 $0 -0%
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 05 $124 −$1 -1%
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 05 $410 $0 -0%
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 04 $685 −$1 -0%
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 03 $128 $0 -0%
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 03 $130 $0 -0%
Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series? Jun 02 $132 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? Jun 02 $64 $0 -0%
Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series? Jun 02 $273 $0 -0%
Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 01 $274 $0 -0%
Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2026 World Series? May 31 $136 $0 -0%
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? May 31 $183 $0 -0%
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? May 31 $156 $0 -0%
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? May 30 $65 $0 -0%
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 30 $258 $0 -0%
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? May 30 $66 $0 -0%
Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? May 30 $249 $0 -0%
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? May 30 $227 $0 -0%
Will the New York Mets win the 2026 World Series? May 29 $249 −$1 -0%
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? May 29 $749 −$1 -0%
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 29 $549 −$1 -0%
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 29 $327 $0 -0%
Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship? May 28 $155 −$1 -0%
Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? May 28 $421 −$1 -0%
Will Minnesota United FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? May 27 $234 $0 -0%
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 27 $627 −$1 -0%
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship? May 27 $281 −$1 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 45% −$38
sports 23% −$22
politics 10% −$9
economics 7% −$7
culture 5% −$6
crypto 5% −$7
world 3% −$2
tech 1% −$1
finance 1% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 99¢ $57 1h
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $57 14h
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $58 16h
Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 99¢ $58 16h
Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 99¢ $58 17h
Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 99¢ $17 24h
Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 99¢ $41 27h
Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 99¢ $58 28h
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL No 98¢ $58 33h
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 98¢ $58 35h
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 98¢ $58 37h
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 98¢ $58 39h
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? SELL No 99¢ $58 47h
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? BUY No 99¢ $58 2d
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $58 2d
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $58 2d
Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 99¢ $58 2d
Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 99¢ $58 2d
Will Charlotte FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? SELL No 99¢ $58 2d
Will Charlotte FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? BUY No 99¢ $58 3d
Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 99¢ $58 3d
Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 99¢ $59 3d
Will the Houston Astros win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 99¢ $59 3d
Will the Houston Astros win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 99¢ $59 3d
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL No 98¢ $59 3d
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 98¢ $59 3d
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 97¢ $59 3d
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 97¢ $59 3d
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? SELL No 100¢ $59 3d
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? BUY No 100¢ $59 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 23 -0.3% -9.8% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤30d 71 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤90d 181 -0.3% -9.8% 2% 0% -9.7%
all 243 -0.2% -9.7% 5% 0% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover10.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.7% 0% -9.7%
10% -18.4% 0% -18.3%
15% -26.3% 0% -26.2%
20% -33.5% 0% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $57.42 · official $57.42 (match) · 1347 history records