trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | -30.6% | -37.2% | 25% | 25% | -71.4% |
| ≤30d | 4 | -30.6% | -37.2% | 25% | 25% | -71.4% |
| ≤90d | 4 | -30.6% | -37.2% | 25% | 25% | -71.4% |
| all | 4 | -30.6% | -37.2% | 25% | 25% | -71.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -37.2% | 25% | -71.4% |
| 10% | -43.2% | 25% | -74.1% |
| 15% | -48.7% | 25% | -76.6% |
| 20% | -53.7% | 25% | -78.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Portugal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 71¢ | 69¢ | $1,896 | $1,835 | −$60 (-3%) |
| Will Portugal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 51¢ | 44¢ | $669 | $570 | −$99 (-15%) |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-19? | Yes | 61¢ | 60¢ | $122 | $121 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Will Spain reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 71¢ | 73¢ | $87 | $89 | +$2 (+3%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw? | Jun 19 | $92 | −$66 | -71% |
| Spread: Spain (-2.5) | Jun 15 | $85 | +$115 | +134% |
| Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $198 | −$168 | -85% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $443 | −$435 | -98% |