Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T09:15:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C7
0xc7b2…ece3
sports · 378 markets active 273d ago
0.0score
−$297,347 -41%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$297,347 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Chart Positions 0 History 378 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days$0
30 days$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Felix Auger-Aliassime win the 2025 US Open? Yes $540 $0 −$540 (-100%)
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2025 US Open? Yes $3,500 $0 −$3,500 (-100%)
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by August 31? Yes $5,189 $0 −$5,189 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by June 30, 2026? Sep 12 $1,432 +$544 +38%
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by October 31? Sep 11 $21,861 +$20,438 +94%
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025? Sep 11 $46,996 +$41,164 +88%
Will Felix Auger-Aliassime win the 2025 US Open? Sep 05 $540 −$540 -100%
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2025 US Open? Sep 04 $3,500 −$3,500 -100%
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by August 31? Aug 09 $5,191 −$5,189 -100%
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before August? Aug 07 $55,393 −$55,393 -100%
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July? Jul 01 $28,258 −$27,235 -96%
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting? Jun 20 $4,093 −$4,093 -100%
Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election? Mar 03 $14,976 −$14,976 -100%
RFK Jr. confirmed as Health & Human Services Secretary? Feb 15 $6,727 +$1,262 +19%
Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence? Feb 12 $5,765 +$2,336 +40%
Will Trump issue 40 or more executive orders on Day 1? Jan 22 $417 +$580 +139%
Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first week? Jan 22 $10,006 +$1,630 +16%
Will Trump say "god" 4+ times during his inauguration speech? Jan 21 $117 −$117 -100%
Will Trump say "hell" during his inauguration speech? Jan 21 $150 −$150 -100%
Will Trump say "drill baby drill" during his inauguration speech? Jan 21 $696 −$696 -100%
Will Trump declare a national emergency on his first day? Jan 21 $78 −$78 -100%
Will Biden issue a preemptive pardon? Jan 21 $569 −$569 -100%
Will Trump say "border" 5 or more times during his inauguration speech Jan 21 $335 +$165 +49%
Will Trump say "McDonald's" during his inauguration speech? Jan 21 $464 +$36 +8%
Will Trump say "rig" or "rigged" during his inauguration speech? Jan 21 $417 +$95 +23%
Will Trump say "trans" during his inauguration speech? Jan 21 $659 +$141 +21%
Will Trump say "MAGA" 4 or more times during his inauguration speech? Jan 21 $880 +$120 +14%
Will Trump say "January 6" during his inauguration speech? Jan 21 $700 +$300 +43%
Will Trump say "Elon Musk" during his inauguration speech? Jan 21 $700 +$300 +43%
Will Trump say "doge" or "Dogecoin" during his inauguration speech? Jan 21 $923 +$77 +8%
Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his inauguration speech? Jan 21 $564 +$436 +77%
Will Trump say "ceasefire" during his inauguration speech? Jan 21 $540 +$460 +85%
Will Trump say "TikTok" during his inauguration speech? Jan 21 $784 +$234 +30%
Will Trump say "Kamala" during his inauguration speech? Jan 21 $800 +$223 +28%
Yoon arrested by Friday? Jan 20 $5,000 −$5,000 -100%
Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2024? Jan 06 $8,912 −$8,912 -100%
Will Fury beat Usyk? Dec 20 $748 −$747 -100%
Will Usyk beat Fury? Dec 20 $949 −$538 -57%
Will Oregon win the 2025 College Football Playoff? Dec 20 $1,315 −$999 -76%
Will Tennessee win the 2025 College Football Playoff? Dec 20 $1,147 −$1,147 -100%
Will another team win the 2025 College Football Playoff? Dec 20 $1,102 −$1,102 -100%
Will Penn State win the 2025 College Football Playoff? Dec 20 $1,485 −$1,134 -76%
Will Ohio State win the 2025 College Football Playoff? Dec 20 $1,020 −$1,020 -100%
Will Georgia win the 2025 College Football Playoff? Dec 20 $1,339 −$1,007 -75%
Will Texas win the 2025 College Football Playoff? Dec 20 $1,331 −$1,007 -76%
Will Notre Dame win the 2025 College Football Playoff? Dec 20 $1,427 −$1,066 -75%
Lightning vs. Kraken Dec 16 $6 −$6 -100%
Cowboys vs. Panthers Dec 16 $107 −$107 -100%
Utah vs. Sharks Dec 16 $78 −$78 -100%
Patriots vs. Cardinals Dec 16 $91 −$91 -100%
Ravens vs. Giants Dec 16 $46 −$46 -100%
Golden Knights vs. Wild Dec 16 $540 −$540 -100%
Rangers vs. Blues Dec 16 $560 −$560 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 59% −$196,197
tech 22% −$25,437
other 11% −$54,831
politics 6% −$21,909
crypto 1% +$4,660
economics 1% −$4,093
world 0% +$460
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by June 30, 2026? SELL Yes 100¢ $1,976 273d
Will Felix Auger-Aliassime win the 2025 US Open? BUY Yes $0 279d
Will Felix Auger-Aliassime win the 2025 US Open? BUY Yes $0 279d
Will Felix Auger-Aliassime win the 2025 US Open? BUY Yes $0 279d
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025? BUY Yes 89¢ $5,106 279d
Will Felix Auger-Aliassime win the 2025 US Open? BUY Yes $20 279d
Will Felix Auger-Aliassime win the 2025 US Open? BUY Yes $20 279d
Will Felix Auger-Aliassime win the 2025 US Open? BUY Yes $0 279d
Will Felix Auger-Aliassime win the 2025 US Open? BUY Yes $60 279d
Will Felix Auger-Aliassime win the 2025 US Open? BUY Yes $10 279d
Will Felix Auger-Aliassime win the 2025 US Open? BUY Yes $10 279d
Will Felix Auger-Aliassime win the 2025 US Open? BUY Yes $1 279d
Will Felix Auger-Aliassime win the 2025 US Open? BUY Yes $0 279d
Will Felix Auger-Aliassime win the 2025 US Open? BUY Yes $0 279d
Will Felix Auger-Aliassime win the 2025 US Open? BUY Yes $30 279d
Will Felix Auger-Aliassime win the 2025 US Open? BUY Yes $60 279d
Will Felix Auger-Aliassime win the 2025 US Open? BUY Yes $30 279d
Will Felix Auger-Aliassime win the 2025 US Open? BUY Yes $20 279d
Will Felix Auger-Aliassime win the 2025 US Open? BUY Yes $20 279d
Will Felix Auger-Aliassime win the 2025 US Open? BUY Yes $12 279d
Will Felix Auger-Aliassime win the 2025 US Open? BUY Yes $1 279d
Will Felix Auger-Aliassime win the 2025 US Open? BUY Yes $5 279d
Will Felix Auger-Aliassime win the 2025 US Open? BUY Yes $0 279d
Will Felix Auger-Aliassime win the 2025 US Open? BUY Yes $3 279d
Will Felix Auger-Aliassime win the 2025 US Open? BUY Yes $18 279d
Will Felix Auger-Aliassime win the 2025 US Open? BUY Yes $5 279d
Will Felix Auger-Aliassime win the 2025 US Open? BUY Yes $0 279d
Will Felix Auger-Aliassime win the 2025 US Open? BUY Yes $24 279d
Will Felix Auger-Aliassime win the 2025 US Open? BUY Yes $1 279d
Will Felix Auger-Aliassime win the 2025 US Open? BUY Yes $1 279d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +22%
net ROI/market (all)-39.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d no closed markets
≤90d no closed markets
all 378 -32.6% -39.0% 32% 22% -47.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover10.4 tr/day
realistic slip~11%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -39.0% 22% -47.1%
10% ← realistic here -44.8% 18% -52.2%
15% -50.2% 15% -56.8%
20% -55.0% 12% -61.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records