Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:26:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C7
0xc7b1…7e9a
sports · 93 markets active 0h ago
2.0score
−$437 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$246 · open −$191
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge
Net worth$570
Realized−$246
Unrealized−$191
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses38 / 52
Whale WR (big bets)31%
Est. fees paid−$356
Open positions3
Markets (closed)90 / 93
History coverage30d
Avg bet$310
Trades / day7.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit68%
Chart Positions 3 History 90 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$62
7 days−$846
14 days−$3,768
30 days−$246
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Knicks vs. Spurs Spurs 65¢ 64¢ $431 $428 −$3 (-1%)
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? No 48¢ 18¢ $312 $121 −$191 (-61%)
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? Yes 17¢ 20¢ $18 $21 +$3 (+15%)
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobolli Felix Auger-Aliassime 49¢ $284 $0 −$284 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca Joao Fonseca 67¢ $500 $0 −$500 (-100%)
Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5) G2 Esports 44¢ $734 $0 −$734 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) Jun 13 $203 −$62 -31%
Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5) Jun 07 $750 −$734 -98%
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 07 $300 −$9 -3%
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 07 $500 −$41 -8%
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 05 $97 −$4 -4%
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? Jun 04 $208 +$32 +15%
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Jun 04 $50 −$21 -41%
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobolli Jun 03 $286 −$284 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June? Jun 03 $203 +$86 +43%
Games Total: O/U 4.5 Jun 02 $50 −$50 -100%
Roland Garros WTA: Iva Jovic vs Naomi Osaka Jun 02 $300 −$300 -100%
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 02 $855 −$855 -100%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 02 $200 −$200 -100%
Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5) Jun 02 $700 −$700 -100%
Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs Top Esports (+1.5) Jun 02 $137 −$137 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca Jun 02 $507 −$500 -98%
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX (BO5) - LEC Playoffs May 31 $300 +$11 +4%
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? May 31 $200 $0 -0%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31? May 29 $100 +$84 +84%
Thunder vs. Spurs May 29 $301 −$301 -100%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 May 28 $200 −$200 -100%
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 28 $100 −$100 -100%
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27? May 28 $300 +$353 +118%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 27 $200 −$88 -44%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 May 27 $443 +$444 +100%
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 27 $520 +$306 +59%
Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Anna Bondar May 27 $99 +$96 +98%
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5) May 27 $500 +$430 +86%
Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch? May 27 $300 +$152 +51%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs May 25 $400 −$110 -28%
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-24? May 25 $200 +$410 +205%
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-05-24? May 24 $510 −$320 -63%
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-05-24? May 24 $204 −$60 -30%
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-24? May 24 $305 −$209 -69%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-24? May 24 $500 −$17 -3%
Getafe CF vs. CA Osasuna: Both Teams to Score May 24 $300 −$300 -100%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-23? May 24 $454 −$454 -100%
RCD Mallorca vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5 May 24 $100 +$92 +92%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports (BO5) - LEC Playoffs May 24 $289 +$211 +73%
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-05-23? May 24 $153 +$347 +226%
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5) May 23 $150 −$78 -52%
Hamburg European Open: Ignacio Buse vs Tommy Paul May 23 $239 −$11 -5%
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-05-24? May 23 $50 +$220 +440%
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs Nongshim Red Force (+1.5) May 23 $1,000 −$1,000 -100%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 23 $300 −$300 -100%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 May 23 $100 −$100 -100%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 May 23 $100 +$113 +113%
LoL: MVK Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5) - LCP Playoffs May 23 $1,012 −$467 -46%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 May 23 $252 −$252 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 23 $217 −$217 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 67% −$2,430
other 32% +$1,843
crypto 1% +$86
tech 1% $0
world 0% +$84
politics 0% −$21
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 65¢ $234 19m
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) SELL BetBoom Team 37¢ $140 20m
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) BUY BetBoom Team 43¢ $102 54m
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) BUY BetBoom Team 65¢ $35 1h
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) BUY BetBoom Team 65¢ $65 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 65¢ $203 1h
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? BUY Yes 17¢ $19 1h
Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5) BUY G2 Esports 44¢ $750 6d
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes $291 6d
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes $459 6d
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY No 48¢ $318 8d
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes $93 8d
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? SELL Yes 50¢ $189 9d
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? SELL Yes $29 9d
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobolli BUY Felix Auger-Aliassime 49¢ $286 10d
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? BUY Yes 13¢ $50 10d
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? SELL Yes 49¢ $30 10d
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? SELL Yes 49¢ $21 10d
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June? SELL Yes 80¢ $289 10d
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June? BUY Yes 53¢ $203 11d
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca BUY Joao Fonseca 67¢ $507 11d
Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5) BUY Anyones Legend 39¢ $200 12d
Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5) BUY Anyones Legend 71¢ $57 12d
Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5) BUY Anyones Legend 71¢ $3 12d
Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5) BUY Anyones Legend 71¢ $151 12d
Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5) BUY Anyones Legend 71¢ $1 12d
Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5) BUY Anyones Legend 71¢ $1 12d
Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5) BUY Anyones Legend 71¢ $71 12d
Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5) BUY Anyones Legend 71¢ $41 12d
Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5) BUY Anyones Legend 71¢ $2 12d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-4.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 -35.5% -41.6% 0% 0% -53.6%
≤30d 90 +5.7% -4.4% 42% 40% -10.3%
≤90d 90 +5.7% -4.4% 42% 40% -10.3%
all 90 +5.7% -4.4% 42% 40% -10.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.7 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -4.4% 40% -10.3%
10% -13.5% 39% -18.9%
15% -21.9% 39% -26.7%
20% -29.5% 37% -33.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $569.67 · official $569.67 (match) · 307 history records