Wallet analysis

2026-06-23T06:55:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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C7 0xc7ab…76c6 crypto 988 markets active 2h ago coverage 98d ⚠
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 98d only
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$255 (-2%) realized −$255 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -4% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -20% what you keep after slip
Net edge-20%after slip
Net WR4%break-even
Win rate91%898W / 90L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$15per market
Trades / day14.7pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$16
7 days+$23
14 days+$32
30 days+$16
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$95
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +4%
net ROI/market (all)-13.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 107 +1.1% -8.5% 99% 0% -8.6%
≤30d 357 +0.6% -9.0% 97% 3% -9.3%
≤90d 668 -9.2% -17.8% 88% 5% -11.0%
all 988 -4.1% -13.2% 91% 4% -10.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover14.7 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -13.2% 4% -10.1%
10% -21.5% 1% -18.7%
15% -29.1% 1% -26.6%
20% -36.1% 1% -33.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 2% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
94% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -4% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -9% → late +0% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.5 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$7 · ×0.09 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.85 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

98d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$255
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)91%
Wins / losses898 / 90
Open positions0
Markets (closed)988 / 988
History coverage98d ⚠
Avg bet$15
Trades / day14.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 988 Trades
no open positions (12 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 23 $26 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 23 $26 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 23 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 23 $25 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 22 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 22 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 22 $24 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 22 $24 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 22 $24 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 22 $24 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 22 $24 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 22 $24 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 22 $20 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 22 $24 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 22 $24 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 22 $24 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 22 $24 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 22 $24 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 22 $24 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 22 $24 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 22 $23 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 22 $23 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 21 $23 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 21 $23 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 21 $23 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 21 $23 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 21 $22 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 21 $22 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 21 $23 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 21 $22 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 21 $22 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 21 $22 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 21 $22 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 21 $22 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 21 $22 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 21 $21 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 21 $22 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 20 $22 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 20 $22 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 20 $22 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 20 $21 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 20 $20 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 20 $21 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 20 $20 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 20 $21 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 20 $21 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 20 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 20 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 19 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 19 $20 $0 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $26 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $25 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $25 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $25 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $25 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $24 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $24 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $24 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $24 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $24 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $24 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $20 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $24 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $24 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $24 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $24 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $24 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $24 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $24 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $23 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $23 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $23 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $23 33h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $23 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $23 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $22 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $22 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $23 41h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $2 42h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records