Wallet analysis

2026-06-19T02:09:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
C7 0xc7aa…e0e0 politics 11 markets active 2h ago coverage 86d
RISKYcopy with care ⚠ Small sample
✗ too few resolved markets (<12) to judge✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$1 (-0%) realized −$1 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -10% what you keep after slip
Net edge-10%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate0%0W / 11L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$99per market
Trades / day0.3pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit82%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days−$0
30 days−$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
politics 46% $0
other 18% $0
sports 9% $0
crypto 9% $0
world 9% $0
economics 9% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 -0.0% -9.5% 0% 0% -9.5%
≤30d 4 -0.0% -9.6% 0% 0% -9.6%
≤90d 11 -0.1% -9.6% 0% 0% -9.6%
all 11 -0.1% -9.6% 0% 0% -9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover0.3 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.6% 0% -9.6%
10% -18.2% 0% -18.2%
15% -26.1% 0% -26.1%
20% -33.4% 0% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top —% · top 2 —% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
—% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early —% → late —% no data
Add-ons / DCA
1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
— vs −$0 no data
Profit factor
×0.0 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

86d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$1
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 11
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)11 / 11
History coverage86d
Avg bet$99
Trades / day0.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit82%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 11 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Jun 19 $98 $0 -0%
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 07 $98 $0 -0%
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 28 $98 $0 -0%
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? May 21 $98 $0 -0%
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 17 $99 $0 -0%
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? May 15 $99 $0 -0%
Will Eleni Kounalakis win the California Governor Election in 2026? May 10 $99 $0 -0%
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 17 $100 $0 -0%
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Apr 12 $100 $0 +0%
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League? Apr 06 $100 $0 -0%
Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Mar 25 $100 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel? SELL No 100¢ $98 1h
Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel? BUY No 100¢ $38 15h
Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel? BUY No 100¢ $0 15h
Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel? BUY No 100¢ $60 16h
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL No 99¢ $98 11d
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY No 99¢ $98 11d
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 99¢ $98 21d
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 99¢ $98 22d
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $98 28d
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $98 30d
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 96¢ $98 32d
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 97¢ $99 32d
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $99 34d
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $99 35d
Will Eleni Kounalakis win the California Governor Election in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $99 39d
Will Eleni Kounalakis win the California Governor Election in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $99 39d
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 98¢ $100 62d
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 98¢ $100 63d
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $100 67d
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $100 67d
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League? SELL No 100¢ $100 73d
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League? BUY No 100¢ $100 74d
Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $100 85d
Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $100 85d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 33 history records