Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T06:42:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
C7 0xc7a8…b459 crypto 57 markets active 1h ago coverage 23d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$4 (-1%) realized −$4 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -8% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR49%break-even
Win rate61%35W / 22L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$13per market
Trades / day11.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$12
7 days−$12
14 days−$12
30 days−$68
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$68
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)-16.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 21 -8.1% -16.9% 48% 38% -22.6%
≤30d 57 -8.0% -16.7% 61% 49% -18.9%
≤90d 57 -8.0% -16.7% 61% 49% -18.9%
all 57 -8.0% -16.7% 61% 49% -18.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover11.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -16.7% 49% -18.9%
10% -24.7% 33% -26.7%
15% -32.0% 19% -33.8%
20% -38.6% 9% -40.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 10% · top 2 18% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -10% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
14% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -8% · $-wt -10% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -1% → late -15% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
3.3 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$8 · ×0.38 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.61 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

23d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$4
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses35 / 22
Open positions0
Markets (closed)57 / 57
History coverage23d
Avg bet$13
Trades / day11.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 57 Trades
no open positions (14 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 16 $10 −$7 -68%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 16 $17 +$1 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 16 $14 −$3 -19%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 16 $9 −$1 -9%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 16 $2 +$1 +28%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +38%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -91%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 16 $1 +$2 +178%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$1 -32%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 16 $2 +$1 +25%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$1 -27%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 -21%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 16 $1 +$1 +102%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 16 $1 +$1 +62%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 16 $11 $0 -3%
Solana Up or Down - May 26, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET May 26 $36 −$35 -98%
Solana Up or Down - May 26, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET May 26 $56 −$25 -44%
Solana Up or Down - May 26, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET May 26 $70 −$25 -36%
Solana Up or Down - May 26, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET May 26 $70 −$44 -63%
Solana Up or Down - May 26, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET May 26 $35 +$6 +18%
Solana Up or Down - May 25, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET May 25 $10 +$3 +30%
Solana Up or Down - May 25, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET May 25 $35 +$4 +10%
Solana Up or Down - May 25, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET May 25 $41 +$10 +25%
Solana Up or Down - May 25, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET May 25 $31 +$6 +18%
Solana Up or Down - May 25, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET May 25 $10 +$5 +46%
Solana Up or Down - May 25, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET May 25 $35 +$7 +20%
Solana Up or Down - May 25, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET May 25 $15 +$4 +26%
Solana Up or Down - May 25, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET May 25 $20 +$8 +41%
Solana Up or Down - May 25, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET May 25 $7 −$7 -97%
Solana Up or Down - May 25, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET May 25 $1 −$1 -95%
Solana Up or Down - May 25, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET May 25 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET May 24 $2 $0 +22%
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET May 24 $20 +$3 +14%
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET May 24 $20 −$5 -25%
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET May 24 $2 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET May 24 $22 +$6 +25%
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET May 24 $25 −$5 -20%
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET May 24 $8 +$3 +34%
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET May 24 $20 +$9 +43%
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET May 24 $4 −$4 -97%
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET May 24 $3 −$3 -95%
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET May 24 $5 +$1 +10%
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET May 24 $4 −$2 -48%
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET May 24 $5 +$5 +96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET SELL Up 6¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $8 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $10 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET SELL Up 16¢ $0 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $8 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET SELL Down 47¢ $9 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $8 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $7 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET SELL Down 33¢ $4 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $8 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $8 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $8 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET SELL Down 5¢ $0 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET SELL Down 3¢ $0 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 252 history records