trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 16 | +1.1% | -8.6% | 75% | 75% | -15.5% |
| ≤30d | 16 | +1.1% | -8.6% | 75% | 75% | -15.5% |
| ≤90d | 16 | +1.1% | -8.6% | 75% | 75% | -15.5% |
| all | 16 | +1.1% | -8.6% | 75% | 75% | -15.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -8.6% | 75% | -15.5% |
| 10% | -17.3% | 56% | -23.5% |
| 15% | -25.3% | 25% | -30.9% |
| 20% | -32.6% | 0% | -37.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw? | No | 77¢ | 76¢ | $89 | $88 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 72¢ | 76¢ | $25 | $26 | +$1 (+5%) |
| Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 76¢ | 78¢ | $25 | $25 | +$0 (+2%) |
| Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 91¢ | 92¢ | $25 | $25 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 85¢ | 84¢ | $25 | $25 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | Yes | 63¢ | 62¢ | $25 | $25 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 72¢ | 69¢ | $25 | $24 | −$1 (-3%) |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 13¢ | 12¢ | $3 | $3 | −$0 (-9%) |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 13¢ | 14¢ | $1 | $1 | +$0 (+3%) |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 10¢ | 7¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-29%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw? | Jun 20 | $65 | +$24 | +38% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $32 | +$4 | +12% |
| Will Scotland vs. Morocco end in a draw? | Jun 20 | $12 | +$4 | +34% |
| Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw? | Jun 19 | $26 | +$7 | +26% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 19 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw? | Jun 19 | $35 | −$35 | -100% |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 19 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw? | Jun 19 | $20 | +$8 | +40% |
| Will Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw? | Jun 19 | $18 | +$3 | +18% |
| Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $30 | +$9 | +29% |
| Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $10 | +$4 | +40% |
| Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $5 | +$2 | +32% |
| Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $1 | $0 | +24% |
| Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $1 | $0 | +13% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $10 | +$5 | +50% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $15 | −$6 | -39% |