Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:11:50+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C7
0xc798…8aab
world · 258 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$199 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$643 · open +$45
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$566
Realized+$643
Unrealized+$45
Win rate (resolved)32%
Wins / losses75 / 161
Whale WR (big bets)38%
Est. fees paid−$23
Open positions22
Markets (closed)236 / 258
History coverage36d
Avg bet$101
Trades / day95.0
Drawdown61%
Kalshi-fit85%
Chart Positions 22 History 236 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$48
7 days−$48
14 days−$707
30 days+$505
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Yes 31¢ 44¢ $70 $98 +$28 (+40%)
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31? Yes 66¢ 77¢ $82 $96 +$14 (+17%)
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? Yes 28¢ 31¢ $61 $67 +$6 (+10%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? Yes 36¢ 44¢ $45 $55 +$10 (+22%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? Yes 14¢ 13¢ $55 $53 −$2 (-4%)
Will another contestant win The Bachelorette Season 22? No 15¢ 12¢ $30 $25 −$5 (-16%)
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes 12¢ 9¢ $30 $23 −$7 (-23%)
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? No 72¢ 94¢ $15 $19 +$4 (+30%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 47¢ 46¢ $19 $19 −$0 (-1%)
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026? Yes 28¢ 24¢ $20 $17 −$3 (-14%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 54¢ 54¢ $16 $16 −$0 (-1%)
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? No 50¢ 54¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+6%)
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Over 42¢ 42¢ $11 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 81¢ 80¢ $11 $10 −$0 (-1%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 Over 67¢ 66¢ $9 $9 −$0 (-1%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 62¢ 62¢ $8 $8 −$0 (-1%)
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026? Yes 39¢ 50¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+28%)
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 Over 21¢ 20¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-2%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 Over 19¢ 18¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-3%)
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-17%)
France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5 Over 50¢ 50¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-1%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Over 47¢ 46¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Verdant - Game 2 Winner Verdant 14¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Will Trump say "Peng" during events with Xi Jinping? No 1¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Spread: Germany (-3.5) Jun 12 $5 $0 -3%
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $3 $0 -7%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24? Jun 12 $11 $0 -3%
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? Jun 12 $14 $0 -2%
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? Jun 12 $6 $0 -3%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 12 $2 $0 -10%
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Jun 12 $1 $0 -7%
ITF Decatur: Kylie Collins vs Malaika Rapolu Jun 12 $207 +$29 +14%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Jun 12 $311 +$10 +3%
Iran closes its airspace by June 8? Jun 12 $1,214 −$203 -17%
Iran closes its airspace by June 15? Jun 12 $412 −$20 -5%
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? Jun 12 $38 +$178 +473%
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 11 $7 +$1 +13%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 11 $42 −$2 -4%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18? Jun 11 $2 $0 -6%
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? Jun 11 $3 $0 -1%
Will France win on 2026-06-16? Jun 11 $2 $0 -7%
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? Jun 11 $6 $0 -3%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $5 $0 -6%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 11 $15 −$1 -3%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 11 $16 $0 -3%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $11 −$3 -22%
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? Jun 11 $37 −$2 -4%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $18 +$3 +17%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 3.5 Jun 11 $9 −$4 -42%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5 Jun 11 $3 $0 -4%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 11 $2 $0 -9%
Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5) Jun 11 $6 −$1 -11%
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-23? Jun 11 $47 −$1 -2%
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12? Jun 11 $53 −$29 -55%
1st 5 Innings Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5) Jun 11 $6 $0 -2%
Will Iran close its airspace by June 10? Jun 11 $105 +$18 +17%
Israel closes its airspace by June 11? Jun 10 $15 −$6 -38%
Will Iran close its airspace by June 11? Jun 10 $25 −$1 -6%
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Jun 10 $10 −$1 -6%
Portugal vs. Nigeria: Nigeria O/U 1.5 Jun 10 $16 $0 -2%
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30? Jun 10 $15 −$13 -87%
Will Iran close its airspace by June 9? Jun 10 $5 −$1 -19%
ITF Hurghada: Anastasia Tikhonova vs Karyna Fiadosik Jun 10 $5 +$2 +34%
ITF Hurghada: Elizaveta Gurianova vs Martyna Kubka Jun 10 $151 +$29 +19%
T20 Blast: Durham vs Lancashire Jun 10 $23 −$3 -11%
Israel closes its airspace by June 15? Jun 09 $999 −$7 -1%
Russia vs. Trinidad and Tobago: O/U 4.5 Jun 09 $26 +$26 +101%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $46 −$46 -99%
Tucuman: Facundo Mena vs Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez Jun 09 $59 −$3 -5%
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Verdant - Game 2 Winner Jun 09 $19 −$19 -99%
Will Azerbaijan win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $12 −$12 -98%
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 1-June 7? Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Chile win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $10 +$1 +10%
T20 Blast: Northamptonshire vs Worcestershire Jun 09 $18 −$17 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
world 80% +$312
politics 6% +$90
sports 5% −$30
other 5% +$282
economics 2% +$39
crypto 1% +$41
tech 1% −$2
finance 0% −$43
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $7 52m
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $7 56m
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $8 56m
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 42¢ $10 1h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $9 1h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31? BUY Yes 77¢ $4 1h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 81¢ $11 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 62¢ $8 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $6 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 42¢ $1 1h
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? BUY No 50¢ $10 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 19¢ $6 1h
France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 50¢ $4 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 21¢ $6 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 47¢ $3 1h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31? BUY Yes 77¢ $0 1h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31? BUY Yes 77¢ $0 1h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31? BUY Yes 77¢ $0 1h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31? BUY Yes 77¢ $0 1h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31? BUY Yes 77¢ $0 1h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31? BUY Yes 77¢ $3 1h
Spread: Germany (-3.5) SELL Germany 48¢ $5 1h
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 4.5 SELL Over 29¢ $3 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24? SELL Yes 67¢ $10 1h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 80¢ $14 1h
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? SELL Yes 90¢ $13 1h
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? SELL Yes 70¢ $6 1h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 16¢ $1 1h
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? SELL Yes 29¢ $1 1h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 53¢ $26 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +23%
net ROI/market (all)-15.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 75 -2.0% -11.4% 28% 23% -10.1%
≤30d 206 -4.6% -13.7% 33% 24% -6.6%
≤90d 236 -6.2% -15.1% 32% 23% -7.0%
all 236 -6.2% -15.1% 32% 23% -7.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover95.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.1% 23% -7.0%
10% ← realistic here -23.2% 14% -15.9%
15% -30.6% 9% -24.0%
20% -37.4% 9% -31.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $565.91 · official $565.92 (match) · 3500 history records