trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $51 | +$84 | +165% |
| Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election | Jun 11 | $596 | −$446 | -75% |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? | Jun 11 | $443 | +$49 | +11% |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? | Jun 11 | $80 | +$6 | +7% |
| Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential ele | Jun 08 | $97 | +$60 | +62% |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect | Jun 08 | $47,170 | +$7,347 | +16% |
| Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential ele | Jun 08 | $61 | +$30 | +50% |
| Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election | Jun 07 | $5,319 | −$824 | -16% |
| Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election | Jun 07 | $4,297 | +$55 | +1% |
| Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election | Jun 06 | $57 | −$4 | -8% |
| Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian | Jun 04 | $3,061 | +$7,353 | +240% |
| Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presid | Jun 04 | $499 | +$648 | +130% |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | May 27 | $290 | −$11 | -4% |
| Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 9% o | May 27 | $411 | +$14 | +3% |
| Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian pres | May 26 | $8 | $0 | +3% |
| Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | May 26 | $42 | −$2 | -4% |
| Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | May 20 | $29 | −$2 | -7% |
| Will Paloma Valencia place 2nd in the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian | May 20 | $11 | −$1 | -12% |
| Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elec | May 17 | $1,109 | −$1,069 | -96% |
| Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elec | May 07 | $2,333 | −$2,331 | -100% |
| Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elec | Apr 27 | $1,293 | −$1,272 | -98% |
| Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elec | Apr 17 | $11 | −$11 | -100% |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in fourth place in the first roun | Apr 15 | $778 | +$103 | +13% |
| Will Ricardo Belmont finish in third place in the first round of the 2 | Apr 14 | $51 | −$51 | -100% |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in fourth place in the first round of | Apr 14 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Apr 13 | $8 | −$4 | -50% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 10 | +21.5% | +9.9% | 70% | 50% | +0.4% |
| ≤30d | 19 | +24.6% | +12.7% | 58% | 37% | +9.4% |
| ≤90d | 26 | -2.7% | -11.9% | 46% | 31% | +3.4% |
| all | 26 | -2.7% | -11.9% | 46% | 31% | +3.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -11.9% | 31% | +3.4% |
| 10% | -20.4% | 19% | -6.5% |
| 15% ← realistic here | -28.1% | 19% | -15.5% |
| 20% | -35.1% | 15% | -23.8% |