Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T15:07:39+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C7
0xc78e…f98f
crypto · 1050 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$3,532 -13%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3,532 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$3,532
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)39%
Wins / losses405 / 644
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1049 / 1050
History coverage123d
Avg bet$25
Trades / day23.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 1 History 1049 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$273
7 days−$1,485
14 days−$1,524
30 days−$1,506
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10AM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-90%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $103 −$103 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $155 −$149 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $32 +$57 +175%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $89 +$111 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9AM ET Jun 13 $64 −$63 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $81 −$79 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $69 −$17 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $30 −$15 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $29 +$26 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3AM ET Jun 13 $70 −$70 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3AM ET Jun 12 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$4 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 11 $203 +$190 +94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 11 $99 −$78 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 11 $85 −$7 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 11 $97 +$88 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 11 $89 +$111 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 11 $93 −$90 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 11 $104 −$4 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 11 $99 +$80 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 11 $301 −$101 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 11 $104 +$96 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 11 $104 −$100 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 11 $103 −$99 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 11 $99 +$101 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 11 $100 +$100 +99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 11 $104 −$100 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 11 $173 −$6 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 11 $258 −$58 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 11 $21 −$19 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 11 $50 +$50 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 11 $70 +$3 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 11 $66 +$8 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 11 $139 +$81 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 11 $126 +$60 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 11 $51 −$14 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 11 $56 +$33 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 11 $71 +$67 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 11 $104 −$100 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 11 $108 +$92 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 11 $176 −$169 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 11 $132 +$132 +99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$3,527
other 0% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $0 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $0 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $95 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $73 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET SELL Up 90¢ $89 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $70 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $32 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $20 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $37 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $89 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $81 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $0 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $4 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $0 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $0 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 8¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $44 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET SELL Down 50¢ $3 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET SELL Down 50¢ $25 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET SELL Down 50¢ $7 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET SELL Down 50¢ $8 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET SELL Down 50¢ $8 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-17.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 116 -12.5% -20.9% 44% 42% -22.8%
≤30d 224 -8.4% -17.1% 39% 38% -22.1%
≤90d 859 -19.9% -27.5% 33% 31% -30.5%
all 1049 -8.7% -17.4% 39% 36% -22.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover23.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.4% 36% -22.1%
10% ← realistic here -25.3% 35% -29.6%
15% -32.5% 33% -36.4%
20% -39.1% 30% -42.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.05 · official $0.05 (match) · 3500 history records