Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T10:00:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C7
0xc777…899b
world · 98 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$5 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$5 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$5
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)35%
Wins / losses34 / 63
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions1
Markets (closed)97 / 98
History coverage530d
Avg bet$30
Trades / day0.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit74%
Chart Positions 1 History 97 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days−$1
14 days−$1
30 days−$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes 15¢ 15¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-3%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Jun 13 $59 $0 +0%
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Jun 12 $36 $0 +0%
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Jun 09 $37 $0 +0%
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Jun 09 $36 $0 +0%
Iran leadership change by December 31? Jun 08 $40 $0 +0%
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Jun 08 $62 $0 +0%
Will Alberta join the US? Jun 08 $84 $0 -0%
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? Jun 07 $140 $0 +0%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Jun 06 $75 −$2 -2%
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Jun 05 $1 $0 +0%
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? Jun 04 $93 $0 +0%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? Jun 02 $54 $0 -0%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? May 30 $38 $0 +0%
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? May 29 $44 $0 -0%
Iran closes its airspace by May 31? May 28 $61 $0 +0%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? May 26 $35 +$2 +6%
Iran leadership change by May 31? May 23 $39 $0 -1%
Iran leadership change by June 30? May 23 $9 $0 -6%
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? May 20 $40 −$1 -1%
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31? May 19 $2 $0 -4%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? May 18 $2 $0 -2%
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? May 18 $16 $0 -2%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? May 18 $34 $0 -1%
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arab May 16 $1 $0 -6%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026? May 16 $36 $0 +0%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? May 14 $65 $0 -0%
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 23 $13 $0 +0%
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Apr 23 $34 $0 -0%
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair? Apr 23 $28 $0 -0%
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 22 $72 $0 -0%
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals? Apr 22 $34 $0 +0%
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? Apr 21 $99 $0 +0%
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? Apr 21 $34 $0 -0%
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Apr 20 $35 $0 +0%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Apr 20 $35 $0 +0%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Apr 14 $75 $0 +0%
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Apr 14 $105 $0 -0%
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Apr 14 $7 $0 +0%
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 13 $4 $0 +0%
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? Apr 12 $2 $0 +0%
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Apr 12 $63 $0 +0%
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open? Apr 10 $37 $0 +0%
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Apr 08 $37 $0 -0%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Apr 08 $74 $0 +0%
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Apr 08 $77 $0 +0%
Will Trump visit China by April 30? Apr 07 $1 $0 +0%
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 05 $37 $0 +0%
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 04 $82 $0 -0%
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Apr 02 $41 $0 +0%
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Apr 01 $81 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
world 39% $0
politics 24% −$1
other 19% $0
sports 8% −$2
crypto 4% −$3
economics 3% $0
finance 3% $0
culture 0% $0
weather 0% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? SELL Yes 49¢ $2 1h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? SELL Yes 49¢ $18 1h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? BUY Yes 49¢ $20 1h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? SELL Yes 48¢ $17 6h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? BUY Yes 48¢ $17 6h
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? SELL Yes 14¢ $9 12h
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 15¢ $3 14h
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 15¢ $5 14h
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 15¢ $2 14h
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? SELL No 94¢ $35 21h
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? SELL No 94¢ $1 23h
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? BUY No 94¢ $36 25h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? SELL Yes 27¢ $1 2d
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? SELL Yes 27¢ $21 2d
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? BUY Yes 27¢ $22 2d
US strike on Cuba by December 31? SELL Yes 39¢ $7 3d
US strike on Cuba by December 31? SELL Yes 39¢ $20 3d
US strike on Cuba by December 31? BUY Yes 39¢ $27 3d
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? SELL No 91¢ $36 4d
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? BUY No 91¢ $35 4d
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? BUY No 91¢ $2 4d
Iran leadership change by December 31? SELL Yes 28¢ $3 4d
Iran leadership change by December 31? SELL Yes 28¢ $12 4d
Iran leadership change by December 31? SELL Yes 28¢ $14 4d
Iran leadership change by December 31? SELL Yes 28¢ $11 4d
Iran leadership change by December 31? BUY Yes 28¢ $40 4d
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? SELL No 79¢ $2 4d
Will Alberta join the US? SELL Yes 5¢ $3 5d
Will Alberta join the US? BUY Yes 5¢ $1 5d
Will Alberta join the US? BUY Yes 5¢ $3 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +3%
net ROI/market (all)-11.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 9 -0.2% -9.7% 33% 0% -9.7%
≤30d 26 -0.7% -10.1% 27% 0% -9.6%
≤90d 68 -0.3% -9.8% 28% 0% -9.7%
all 97 -1.7% -11.0% 35% 3% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.6 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.0% 3% -9.7%
10% -19.5% 3% -18.3%
15% -27.3% 1% -26.2%
20% -34.4% 0% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.07 · official $0.00 (match) · 345 history records